Richmond v Brisbane betting tips & best bets — AFL Rd 20 Preview

Who will claim the spoils when Richmond clash with Brisbane in a must-win contest at Marvel Stadium on Sunday in AFL round 20 action.

Richmond’s allergy to winning games of football continued in round 19 when they failing to take two shots at goal in the dying minutes. A mongrel punt off the side of the boot could have registered the point required to get them home, but they emerged with a gut-wrenching draw.

The Tigers have been a horror for punters this season, after losing a series of close ones. The Tigers in contrast to a team like Collingwood, who keep winning the close ones, keep losing after seemingly being in winning positions.

There is only one way to sum up this contest from the home side’s perspective. Richmond must win.

The Lions looked a little scrappy and fortunate in round 19 when they fell over the line against the Suns. Gold Coast led at three quarter time and were probably stiff to lose all things considered.

Regardless, the win keeps the Lions in the top four hunt, and they will be chasing a rare MCG victory here.

Punters have sided with the Tigers in the lead up to this game, and their odds have steadily shortened during the week. We are facing another contest where one side has way more to play for, but that doesn’t always mean they are going to win.

Key match-up: Prestia v Neale

Richmond midfielder Dion Prestia was a prolific ball-winner against the Dockers, grabbing 30 disposals, eight clearances, and laying three tackles. Prestia has posted consistent numbers across the season and does his best work burrowing into packs and breaking free with ball in hand.

Brisbane champion midfielder Lachie Neale is now favourite in Brownlow Medal odds based, presumably on his impressive season stats.

Neale is averaging 30.8 disposals, 7.3 clearances, and 4.4 tackles. Neale was the match winner against the Suns, with a contribution of 10 clearance and will be looking to keep his form rolling towards September. A battle of the diminutive ball-magnets is our key match-up here.

Richmond v Brisbane tips & betting strategy

With the weight of money behind them, the Tigers go in as slight favourites with Australian bookmakers. The line is a skinny 3.5 points, while the over/under total points has been set at 176.5.

Total points under 176.5

A late Sunday shower is predicted, which might slow the scoring, and the Tigers limped to a mere 52 points in their draw. So where are all these points going to come from exactly? It’s hard to imagine a blow-out either way, in what should be a finals like contest, so we are stepping in to take the unders with some confidence. Total game points under 176.5 is the official tip, available at PalmerBet betting.

Tigers v Lions same-game multi tip

For the value punters, we are opting for a simple approach to this perplexing match. We are linking the under points bet with a close finish. Our official same game parlay is total points under 176.5, into either team under 19.5 points. This double header will return $3.71 courtesy of Neds.

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