Rabbitohs vs Knights NRL Finals Week 1 Betting Preview & Tips

Rabbitohs vs Knights NRL Finals Betting Preview

The NRL Finals 6 v 7 match up has proven hardest to pick since the McIntyre System came in to place in 2012, with both seeds having won four games each thus far.

Most will see this game as a fait accompli on the current form, but if you look hard there is plenty of reason why Newcastle can spring an upset. Their middle of David Klemmer, Mitch Barnett and the Saifiti twins is where they hold an advantage, and if they hit their straps Kalyn Ponga can have a day out like he did in around 10 against the Bunnies.

Had the season been 19 games and not 20, the Knights would be shorter than the $3.50 they are paying in the head to head NRL betting and the Rabbitohs would not be as short as the $1.32 price they sit at.

Four times after the Knights have lost by 12 points or more points in 2020, they have rebounded to win by an average of 18.75 points, which has to be taken into consideration after losing by 30 in their final regular season game.

The case for Souths to win is much simpler. They have Wayne Bennett as their coach against Adam O’Brien, so the chasm in experience couldn’t be greater. They also outmatch the Knights in the creative positions, which is a big factor in the $2.25 price for a 13 plus win to the Bunnies.

Some will point to the negative headlines surrounding the Bunnies as a big factor, but once they cross the stripe it will have no effect on the playing group, so if you liked the Bunnies beforehand you shouldn’t let that sway you.

If the Knights are to spring an upset, the 1-12 margin at $4.50 is a nice offering which many Novocastrians will jump all over. The Knights haven’t played Finals in seven years, but the last time they did they were the 7 seed and won by 16 points at ANZ Stadium. Perhaps history can repeat?

After his five try performance, how could you go past Alex Johnston to score first at $7.50?

NRL Betting Tips Rabbitohs versus Knights