Brisbane Lions: $5.50 with Bet365
Richmond Tigers: $3
Brisbane Lions: 2nd, 16-6, 118.3%
Richmond Tigers: 3rd, 16-6, 113.7%
Brisbane Lions: WWWWL
Richmond Tigers: WWWWW
Brisbane Lions: Loss to Richmond, 82-55
Richmond Tigers: Won over Brisbane, 82-55
Not many AFL qualifying finals are as difficult to tip as this belter between the Brisbane Lions and Richmond Tigers at the Gabba.
Both teams have great form heading into the 2019 AFL Finals Series and have bought in good players to strengthen their squads.
The Lions will recall Allen Christensen to add experience to the forward half, while Cedric Cox will miss out.
Richmond has decided to bring back premiership ruckman Toby Nankervis after a great stint in the reserves, leaving Noah Balta on the sidelines.
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Only a fortnight ago the Tigers beat the Lions at the MCG in a fast, open encounter that ended in a comfortable win for Damien Hardwick’s men.
The change in scenery may have a big impact, however, as the Tigers have not left Melbourne for eight weeks.
The sudden switch to an antagonistic environment might be difficult to cope with for the younger Tigers, but the seasoned veterans will find a way to perform.
Whoever wins this match will be granted a preliminary final birth, while the other will have to take on the winner between the GWS Giants and Western Bulldogs.
Brisbane Lions vs Richmond player disposals tips
Dayne Zorko to get 30 disposals @ $3.75 with Sportsbet
When the going gets tough, Zorko stands up and gets the job done. The Brisbane captain has played as a more defensive midfielder this season, but to beat the Tigers you need to kick well inside 50. Zorko has a penetrating kick that catches defenders off guard, and which should be utilised more by Brisbane this week.
Dustin Martin to get 30 disposals @ $2.10 with Sportsbet
Dusty only touched the ball 21 times a fortnight ago in a role up the ground. If the Tigers want to cash in on the inclusion of Nankervis, they should tell Martin to follow him into every contest. Martin has been a ball magnet in the past and will rediscover that form this finals series.
Brisbane Lions vs Richmond goalscorer betting
Charlie Cameron to kick three goals @ $1.68 with BetEasy
Cameron announced during the week that he has a few tricks up his sleeve to get around Dylan Grimes, who gave the Brisbane livewire very little room to manoeuvre when these teams met two weeks ago. If Cameron can find more space and get some help from his teammates, he should kick at least three goals.
Tom Lynch to kick three goals @ $1.48 with BetEasy
The big key forward has provided a great return on Richmond’s investment after moving from the Gold Coast. Lynch has kicked 54 goals in his maiden season at Punt Road and has done so in fine fashion. An interrupted preseason has led to much better second half of the year, which will only progress as he heads into finals.
Brisbane Lions vs Richmond first to 50 odds
Brisbane Lions @ $2.12 with Sportsbet
The Lions have got off to a good start in many games this season, which can be attributed to the high energy provided by Mitch Robinson and Cam Rayner. The Tigers have not travelled since the bye round and will find it difficult to adapt to the hostile Gabba environment early.
Brisbane Lions vs Richmond match predictions
Brisbane Lions to win @ $2.20 with Sportsbet
Brisbane Lions +5.5 @ $1.90 with Sportsbet
Home field advantage can make a big difference in a game of footy. The Lions rarely lose at the Gabba and will not go down without a fight. With Lachie Neale, Jarryd Lyons and Dayne Zorko in the midfield, the Lions will be very hard to beat.
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