FOUR realistic contenders remain in the hunt for a berth in the inaugural AFLW Grand Final.
Brisbane Lions took pole position last weekend, ending Adelaide’s unbeaten run with a three-point win at Norwood Park.
Carlton are still in the mix after downing the Bulldogs, while Melbourne’s title hopes took a hit with their shock loss to Greater Western Sydney.
If both the Lions and the Crows win this weekend, the Demons will be out of the picture and the Blues will need massive results in their last two fixtures to have any hope.
Here are our AFLW multi bet tips for round six, with match odds from Sportsbet.com.au – Australia’s favourite footy betting site.
Brisbane Lions to defeat Western Bulldogs – -277.78
Melbourne to defeat Adelaide – +188
Collingwood to defeat Greater Western Sydney – -196.08
Fremantle vs. Carlton
3:05pm local time – Friday, March 10, 2017 – Domain Stadium, Perth
Dockers – +135
Blues – -163.93
Five rounds in, only Freo have yet to taste victory in AFLW 2017.
They came agonisingly close last week, losing by a solitary point to the Magpies at Rushton Park.
Again it was conversion that cost the Dockers, with only four of their 11 scoring shots resulting in goals.
They will have to much sharper to take down a Carlton outfit that will be hellbent on four points and a big percentage boost.
They set the tone last week, registering 8.6 to become the first side in AFLW history to pass 50 points in a match.
On the flip side, the Blues conceded 7.6 when they need much bigger margins of victory to catch the top two.
Darcy Vescio kicked another three against the Dogs to take her season tally to 11 – four clear of her nearest rival in the top goalscorer stakes.
If she gets her hands on the ball even half a dozen times, Carlton could be in for a big day.
Our pick: Carlton
Brisbane Lions vs. Western Bulldogs
10:15am local time – Saturday, March 11, 2017 – South Pine Sports Complex, Brisbane
Lions – -277.78
Bulldogs – +216
Brisbane made a massive statement of intent last week with their win over the Crows.
Five wins on the bounce is a fair going for a team that was tipped for the foot of the table.
With only 95 points conceded all season, the Lions defence is second to none.
Yet there is plenty of skill among Craig Starcevich’s crew, so the Dogs will have their work cut out on all fronts.
Nothing has gone quite right at the Kennel, with marquee recruit Katie Brennan going down early in the season with an ankle injury.
But Ellie Blackburn was excellent last week with three goals, while Jamiee Lambert was back to her usual self with 16 touches and a major.
Those two will need to fire again and drag a few more with them if the Doggies are to win back some pride.
Our pick: Brisbane Lions
Adelaide vs. Melbourne
5:40pm local time – Saturday, March 10, 2017 – TIO Stadium, Darwin
Crows – -238.1
Demons – +188
Adelaide came off second best from the top-of-the-table clash at Norwood, but it could have gone either way.
All it needed was Erin Phillips to convert one of her two chances, and it might have been a different story.
It would be trite to lay the blame at her feet, however, as she topped the pops with 18 kicks from her 21 touches.
Also excellent was Ebony Marinoff, who laid some 14 tackles and found plenty of the ball in the process.
The Crows have looked like premiers-elect since round one, but it will be interesting to see how they bounce back from the unfamiliar phenomenon of defeat.
It is victory or bust for Melbourne.
Defeat here would open the gap between they and Adelaide to eight points, which becomes insurmountable when you add the best part of 70 points in percentage.
The Demons were stunned by a theretofore winless GWS last week, but it was a demise of their own doing.
The chances are coming often enough for the Dees – they just need to put them away.
Our pick: Melbourne
Collingwood vs. Greater Western Sydney
11:05am local time – Sunday, March 12, 2017 – Olympic Park, Melbourne
Magpies – -196.08
Giants – +158
It’s too little and too late, but the Pies have found some real touch.
Consecutive wins over the Bulldogs and the Dockers have seen them emerge as the best of the rest.
They are still struggling to get the ball into the hands of Moana Hope, who kicked 1.1 from four touches in the win at Freo.
A bit more output from Mo and co. would make life very difficult for GWS, although they are up and about themselves.
The Giants were rank outsiders against Melbourne, but 3.2 was enough to get them their maiden win in the AFLW.
Jess Dal Pos starred in defence with 19 disposals and seven tackles, while Emma Swanson and Alex Williams were also influential.
But the Sydneysiders have struggled on the road this season, twice failing to score more than a single major.
This isn’t quite as tough a task as Adelaide or Brisbane, but the Pies should fancy their chances of going three in a row.
Our pick: Collingwood
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