With just five rounds of footy remaining in the 2021 AFL home-and-away season, this is a perfect time an update on this year’s major futures markets. Given the chaotic nature of the season to date, we have seen some big shifts in almost all of the most popular AFL betting categories since our last update in May. Here are the latest odds for the Brownlow Medal, Rising Star, Coleman Medal and more.
Can anyone catch Bontempelli in 2021 Brownlow Medal race?
Marcus Bontempelli has not slowed down since our last update; in fact, you could argue his last seven weeks of footy have been his best. After collecting a season-high 36 disposals against the Suns, the Bont deserves his $2.50 favouritism in the Brownlow Medal betting heading into the final five rounds of the season.
The week off worked wonders for Ollie Wines, who has dropped from $11 to $4.50 since round 12. Wines has averaged a ridiculous 35.5 disposals per game since Port Adelaide’s bye, including two massive 43-disposal efforts.
We identified Darcy Parish as a Brownlow contender back when he was priced at $18, and he has since plunged to $7. Parish is now one of the most consistent midfielders in the competition and must be considered a strong chance to take home Charlie.
Jack Steele ($15) has been terrific all season for the Saints, but he has gone to another level in the last six weeks. The St Kilda captain has surpassed 30 disposals in each of his last three matches while also slotting three goals, and he offers great value at double figures.
|Player||2021 Brownlow Medal odds|
|Marcus Bontempelli||+150||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Ollie Wines||+350||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Darcy Parish||+600||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Christian Petracca||+650||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Clayton Oliver||+700||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Sam Walsh||+900||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Jack Macrae||+1400||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Jack Steele||+1400||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Zach Merrett||+2500||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Tom Mitchell||+2500||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Travis Boak||+3300||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Max Gawn||+3300||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Cam Guthrie||+3300||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Jarryd Lyons||+4000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|David Mundy||+4000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Luke Parker||+4000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Rory Laird||+5000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
Largest Rising Star betting pool in years heats up
The 2021 Rising Star race will go down to the wire, as we suspect at least eight contenders will be in the mix come the end of the season.
Tom Green has been consistent for the Giants and remains ahead of the pack, but he has not been as eye-catching as some of the others in the market. Green heads the Rising Star betting market at $3, but another young star could surpass him with a few standout performances in the run home.
We really like Mitch Georgiades at $7.50 for the Power this year, as he has taken his goalkicking and aerial game to new heights. Jaidyn Stephenson won the 2018 Rising Star after booting 34 goals for the Magpies, and Georgiades is on track to beat that mark having taken his season tally to 27 with a four-goal haul against the Saints in round 18.
The Demons duo of Luke Jackson and James Jordon are still in the mix, while the Bombers pair of Nik Cox and Archie Perkins could also finish the year in good form. Harrison Jones’ season could be over due to a stress fracture in his foot, so he is one to avoid in the betting.
|Player||2021 Rising Star odds|
|Tom Green||+200||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Luke Jackson||+350||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|James Jordon||+500||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Mitch Georgiades||+650||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Nik Cox||+900||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Harrison Jones||+1400||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Justin McInerney||+1400||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Lachlan Sholl||+1400||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Riley Thilthorpe||+1700||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Cody Weightman||+1700||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Archie Perkins||+2000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Tom Powell||+2500||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Chad Warner||+2800||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Errol Gulden||+3300||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Deven Robertson||+3300||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Matt Rowell||+4000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Miles Bergman||+5000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Jacob Koschitzke||+5000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Trent Rivers||+5000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Harry Schoenberg||+5000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
McKay odds-on in Coleman Medal betting
Harry McKay sits 10 goals clear of the next best forward in the 2021 Coleman Medal race, so it no surprised to see him back into $1.50 to top the AFL goalkicking tables this year. The Carlton spearhead went ballistic late against the Magpies last weekend, kicking four goals in the final term and carrying the Blues to victory.
There are only two players we think are still in the running, and they are Tom Hawkins ($7) and Jack Riewoldt ($7.50).
Hawkins kicked four goals against the Dockers in round 18 and will play the next five weeks as Geelong’s main man in the absence of Jeremy Cameron, while Riewoldt bagged six goals against the Lions and is known for his late-season surges.
Those two have a lot of ground to make up, however, so we expect McKay to finish the 2021 AFL Premiership season with a Coleman Medal around his neck.
|Player||2021 Coleman Medal odds|
|Harry McKay||-200||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Tom Hawkins||+600||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Jack Riewoldt||+650||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Taylor Walker||+900||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Josh Bruce||+1100||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Lance Franklin||+1400||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Ben King||+1400||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Aaron Naughton||+2200||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Josh Kennedy||+2500||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Jack Darling||+5000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Charlie Dixon||+5000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Bayley Fritsch||+5000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Charlie Cameron||+6600||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Toby Greene||+6600||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Cale Hooker||+10000||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
Will Tigers finish top eight without Dusty?
After two consecutive weeks filled with massive upsets, the AFL finals race has been blown wide open.
The Richmond Tigers ($1.91) were expected by many pundits to compete for their third consecutive flag this year, but they may struggle to make the top eight with Dustin Martin ruled out for the rest of the season.
Even though the West Coast Eagles are priced at $1.45 to make the finals, do not lock them in just yet. Their next five opponents are St Kilda, Collingwood, Melbourne, Fremantle and Brisbane, all tough opposition.
We like the Bombers at $2.10, as they are set to welcome back star midfielder Dylan Shiel very soon. Currently sitting eighth on the ladder, we think the Dons will hold their spot.
St Kilda is the only team beyond the $5 mark we see with a chance, as we think the Dockers are still a season away from making an impact in September.
|Team||Top 8 finish in 2021|
|West Coast||-222.22||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Richmond||-109.89||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Essendon||+110||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Fremantle||+450||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|St Kilda||+550||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|Carlton||+900||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
|GWS Giants||+1100||Best Odds @ Sportsbet|
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