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AFL Sunday: Brett Kirk Medal betting tips for GWS vs. Sydney

AFL round 12Sunday, June , 2016, 4.40pm AEST, Spotless Stadium Sydney, watch on Fox Footy

Ladder position:
Greater Western Sydney Giants: Sixth
Sydney Swans: Second

Season record:
Greater Western Sydney Giants: 7-4
Sydney Swans: 9-2

Last five match results:
Greater Western Sydney Giants: WWWLL
Sydney Swans: WLWWW

Head-to-head odds:
Greater Western Sydney Giants: $1.92 with CrownBet.com.au
Sydney Swans: $1.92 with CrownBet.com.au

Line betting:
Greater Western Sydney Giants: -1.5 ($1.92 with WilliamHill.com.au)
Sydney Swans: +1.5 ($1.92 with WilliamHill.com.au)

WilliamHill.com.au

IT has been a long time coming, but finally, the clash between the two Sydney based AFL teams has some legitimacy.

The baby Greater Western Sydney Giants are an emerging power on the AFL landscape and they take on their cross town rivals, the Sydney Swans in a massive match that has top four ramifications.

We’ll talk about who we think will win the Sydney Derby later, but let’s take a look at those players who might be a chance of winning the Brett Kirk Medal.

The award for the best player in the Sydney Derby is named for the Swans’ great who was born and bred in New South Wales.

Kirk started at the Swans as a rookie listed player and developed into one of the finest captains in the competition.

Passion, determination and courage were his trademarks during a decorated 241-game career.

He was a dual Swans’ best and fairest winner, a premiership player, and was voted by his peers as the best captain in the AFL in 2010.

He is an AFL favourite son and it is an honour to be bestowed with a medal in his name.

Gun Sydney midfielders Dan Hannebery (the $8 favourite with WilliamHill.com.au), Josh Kennedy ($9) and Luke Parker ($10), along with Giants’ captain Callan Ward ($9) lead the way in the market, but we reckon this award is big Buddy’s for the taking.

Sydney spearhead Lance Franklin is arguably in the form of his career and we reckon the $11 is too good to ignore.

He only has to do a couple of special things – which he does with monotonous regularity – and he will almost walk into the award on name only.

Big Lance has a stunning 41 goals from just 11 matches this season, but he will be coming off his worst return of the season – just one goal in heavy conditions in the Swans’ win over the Gold Coast Suns last week. He still had 18 touches in the torrential rain to underline his class.

In April last year, Buddy tore the Giants apart. He had 10 scoring shots on his way to booting five goals, along with 18 disposals and seven marks, but he was pipped for the medal by Hannebery, who had 34 disposals as the match’s prime mover.

Sydney won that game by 21 points, 16.15 (111) to 12.18 (90), but this is a vastly improved Giants team and a key figure in that improvement has been the brilliant ball-winning ability of young star Dylan Shiel.

Shiel is only a point ahead of Franklin in the market at $10, underlining why this is seen as a midfieders’ award.

But he is thee for good reason.

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He has had 27 or more disposals in every game bar one this season and is coming of 32 possessions with five marks and a goal in an agonising defeat at Geelong.

He was easily Greater Western Sydney’s best player and, if they are going to win this match, he will be the one driving their engine room.

If we had to pick a smokey, you could do way worse than rejuvenated former Geelong goal sneak Stevie Johnson, who could tear the game apart in a matter of moments with his wizardry for the Giants. He is $26 to get the job done in this award.

At the other end of the spectrum is a younger goal sneak in Sydney’s Isaac Heeney.

Also $26 to come away with the Brett Kirk Medal, he has been one of the best young players in the AFL in 2016 and a fixture in the Swans’ line up.

Brett Kirk Medal market

Dan Hannebery (SYD) ($8)

Josh Kennedy (SYD) ($9)

Callan Ward (GWS) ($9)

Luke Parker (SYD) ($10)

Dylan Shiel (GWS) ($10)

Lance Franklin (SYD) ($11)

Stephen Coniglio (GWS) ($11)

Tom Mitchell (SYD) ($13)

Tom Scully (GWS) ($17)

Heath Shaw (GWS) ($17)

Kurt Tippett (SYD) ($21)

Lachie Whitfield (GWS) ($21)

Jarrad McVeigh (SYD) ($21)

Jeremy Cameron (GWS) ($26)

Isaac Heeney (SYD) ($26)

Steve Johnson (GWS) ($26)

Toby Greene (GWS) ($26)

Ryan Griffen (GWS) ($26)

Kieren Jack (SYD) ($26)

Josh Kelly (GWS) ($34)

Shane Mumford (GWS) ($34)

Ben McGlynn (SYD) ($41)

Gary Rohan (SYD) ($41)

Rory Lobb (GWS) ($51)

Jake Lloyd (SYD) ($51)

Jacob Hopper (GWS) ($51)

Phil Davis (GWS) ($51)

Nick Smith (SYD) ($51)

Jonathon Patton (GWS) ($81)

Callum Sinclair (SYD) ($81)

Callum Mills (SYD) ($81)

Dane Rampe (SYD) ($81)

James Rose (SYD) ($101)

Harry Cunningham (SYD) ($101)

Nathan Wilson (GWS) ($101)

Nick Haynes (GWS) ($101)

Matthew Buntine (GWS) ($101)

Jeremy Laidler (SYD) ($101)

Sam Reid (GWS) ($151)

Joel Patfull (GWS) ($151)

Zac Williams (GWS) ($151)

Zak Jones (SYD) ($151)

Heath Grundy (SYD) ($151)

Harrison Marsh (SYD) ($151)

Odds provided by WilliamHill.com.au

Match predictions

Match result: Sydney Swans to win ($2 with WilliamHill.com.au)
Line betting: Sydney Swans +1.5 ($1.92 with WilliamHill.com.au)

This is one of those games where the plucky upstart gets knocked down a cog by the old stager. People are saying the Giants are legitimate premiership contenders, but we feel they are a little while away and will be shown that by the Swans on Sunday. Sydney is the real contender here and we think they will head to the Giants home ground and teach them a lesson. That brutal midfield of Hannebery, Kennedy and Parker is the equal of any in the AFL and, despite the likes of Shiel and the emerging Lachie Whitfield, we feel like the first use for guys like Franklin and Kurt Tippett up front will be to strong for the Giants. Swans by 16 points.

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