The Queensland government has requested that the AFL rearrange the round five fixture to keep Victorians out of the state, meaning several matches and timeslots have been altered this week. Here are the latest AFL betting odds at Sportsbet.com.au for this week’s revamped schedule.
Carlton vs St Kilda
The joke has been made that only premiership contenders get Thursday night timeslots, but this week we see Carlton and St Kilda replace Richmond and West Coast. In all seriousness, this clash is set to be fast-paced and could help shape both teams’ seasons. Whoever wins will jump to 3-2 and likely finish the week inside the top eight. The Saints are the early favourites at $1.65, but you cannot count out the Blues at $2.25.
Collingwood vs Essendon
There was no ANZAC Day blockbuster this year, so instead Essendon and Collingwood will wear their commemorative guernseys in Friday night’s fixture at the MCG. Zach Merrett misses this clash after accepting a one-match ban for striking Jack Silvagni in the ribs, which is a huge blow for the Bombers as they prepare to face a powerful Collingwood midfield. You can get on the Pies at $1.36 or try the upset at $3.08 for the Bombers.
West Coast vs Sydney Swans
If you remember the back-to-back AFL Grand Finals between the West Coast Eagles and Sydney Swans, you would understand the importance of this clash to both sides. Previously scheduled to face different opposition, both teams will need to refocus on what the AFL has given them. The Eagles have lost three games straight since the restart, but they’re $1.55 favourites to win against the $2.41 Swans this Saturday.
Geelong vs Gold Coast
As strange as it sounds, this is one of the hottest matchups of the round. We still have no idea whether the Gold Coast Suns are serious or not, as they have beaten the two winless teams and the Eagles, who all sit bottom three on the ladder. Geelong is similarly hard to read after losing to Carlton at home and eking out an ugly win over Melbourne. The odds favour the Cats at $1.30, but we have underestimated the $3.40 Suns many times before and they continue to shock us.
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Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne
These two Victorian middleweights will draw a line in the sand at Marvel Stadium this Saturday, competing to see who is the real 2020 finals contender. Western Bulldogs skipper Marcus Bontempelli was terrific against Sydney in the absence of Josh Dunkley, but the latter’s midfield grunt will be missed against a tough North Melbourne side. Ben Cunnington has been a late out for the Kangaroos two weeks running, but he should be fit to play this time around. The Bulldogs are slim favourites at $1.72, leaving the Roos at $2.10 for the win.
Brisbane Lions vs Port Adelaide
Look no further than this Saturday night clash at the Gabba for round five’s game of the week. We think both of these teams could finish inside the top four, where they currently sit, so the result this weekend may prove significant down the track. The Brisbane Lions were embarrassing in front of goal last weekend, and they’ll need to straighten up their kicking against an undefeated Port Adelaide side. The odds are basically even with the Lions priced at $1.88 and the Power not far behind at $1.92.
Adelaide vs Fremantle
We are calling it now: this is the battle for the wooden spoon. Neither team has won a game this season and they don’t even look like getting over the line against a half-decent side. Fremantle will be without two-time Brownlow Medal winner Nat Fyfe, who strained his hamstring in last week’s loss. Even so, the Dockers are $1.57 favourites to topple the $2.35 Adelaide Crows at Metricon Stadium.
Melbourne vs Richmond
This match was created out of thin air by the AFL due to Queensland’s stance against teams travelling from Victoria. Melbourne and Richmond have both been underwhelming, to say the least, and both sides will view this as a must-win clash. The bookies like the Tigers at $1.50, but the Demons are not going to go down without a fight at $2.54.
GWS Giants vs Hawthorn
This should be the best game Sunday has to offer, assuming Hawthorn is allowed to enter New South Wales. It will be interesting to see how the GWS Giants treat ex-teammate Jonathon Patton, who moved to the Hawks this past offseason. Favouritism lies with the Giants at $1.62, but the Hawks have shown plenty and should be considered at $2.26.
AFL 2020 premiership betting
Several clubs have bolted into the premiership race since the competition resumed, but we still have very little idea about who is serious and who is overachieving.
Teams in the middle of the market moved the most over the weekend, as the Hawks, Bulldogs, Saints and Suns all dropped in price to correlate with their respective wins.
The Giants moved to $8.50 from $11 with their win over Collingwood, although the Pies still lead the betting at $6.
Port Adelaide has moved to the second line at $8, but a massive clash with the $10 Lions will prove how serious the Power really are.
$6 – Collingwood
$8 – Port Adelaide
$8.50 – GWS Giants, Richmond
$10 – Brisbane Lions
$15 – Geelong, Hawthorn, West Coast
$21 – Western Bulldogs
$34 – St Kilda
$41 – Gold Coast
$51 – Essendon
$67 – Carlton, Melbourne, North Melbourne
$101 – Sydney Swans
$501 – Adelaide, Fremantle
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