UNBELIEVABLY, for the second week running, a short-priced favourite sunk our multi when it looked to be a sure thing.
The Cats cost us on the final leg, losing to the Saints on Saturday night in a performance that can only be described as diabolical for BettingSite.com.au readers.
Over the last fortnight we have been undone twice by a solitary leg, but it’s onwards and upwards and we have a bye week multi that we are incredibly confident about.
All odds this week are provided by Sportsbet.com.au.
Round 15 AFL multi of the week tips:
Port Adelaide to beat Richmond ($1.40)
St Kilda to defeat Gold Coast ($2.05)
Sydney to defeat Western Bulldogs ($1.38)
Adelaide to defeat Melbourne ($1.36)
Port Adelaide vs. Richmond
Friday, July 1 from 7.50pm at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Two teams that still believe they are in finals contention clash on Friday night in Port Adelaide and Richmond, and surely the loser now has to concede September action is over.
Sportsbet has Port Adelaide at $7 to make the finals this year while Richmond is at $31.
The Power have the edge over the Tigers in recent times, winning two of the last three encounters between the two sides.
Realistically Port Adelaide is the only team capable of entering the eight from outside finals contention, but a loss here would see its odds blow out hugely.
The pressure is on superstar Robbie Gray.
The dynamic midfielder was blanketed last time out by Fremantle’s Michael Barlow, and a man of his talent and pride will be keen to make amends the next time out – which spells trouble for the Tigers.
Their odds may seem quite slim, but we are expecting the Power to overcome the Tigers and keep their finals dream alive.
Multi tip: Port Adelaide to win – $1.40
Gold Coast vs. St Kilda
Saturday, July 1 from 1.20pm at Metricon Sadium, Gold Coast
A fascinating battle between two sides who have shown promising signs in recent weeks awaits on Saturday as St Kilda travel to the Gold Coast to face the Suns.
The Saints had undoubtedly their finest victory of the season, upsetting premiership favourites Geelong by three points at Eithad Stadium on Saturday night.
The Saints fans are daring to believe that finals could be on the cards, but Sportsbet.com.au disagree, placing Alan Richardson’s men at the outsider price of $14.
The Suns were brilliant for three quarters of the game against the Hawks last week, but ultimately fell short of recording an unlikely victory down in Tasmania.
This fixture has been extremely even in recent times.
The last four match ups have been split at 2-2 – who will be able to break the deadlock?
This is a legitimacy test for the Saints – they have often struggled in 2016 to win the games they should after showing glimpses against the top teams.
We think that St Kilda has enough in the tank to overcome the Suns; their multi-pronged forward line should be too powerful and will be hard to quell for an under-strength Gold Coast defense.
Sydney vs. Western Bulldogs
Saturday, July 2 from 4.35pm at Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney
The hard-nosed Swans tackle the enigmatic Bulldogs at the SCG as our multi rolls on.
Both teams are top four aspirants and are fresh off a bye.
The Swans have won four of the last five matches against the Dogs, but their most recent meeting saw the red, white and blue boys upset Sydney on their home ground.
Could it happen again here?
We do not think so. The Swans have far too much firepower up forward and we are struggling to find a defender who will be able to subdue big Buddy down back.
Lance Franklin is the $1.85 favourite for the Coleman at WilliamHill.com.au and our $7 pick to boot the first goal of the match on Saturday afternoon.
The match has all the hallmarks of the match of the round, but we think the Swans should be too powerful for the Dogs, especially at the SCG.
Sydney to win – $1.38
Melbourne vs. Adelaide
Sunday, July 3 from 3.20pm at MCG, Melbourne
The battle between the Dees and the Crows is the final match of round 15 and the last leg of our multi.
The Crows are flying and are fresh off a sensational win over North Melbourne last Thursday night.
Such has been the dominance of Adelaide, WilliamHill.com.au has slashed the odds on the Crows winning the flag from $15 to $7 over the past month.
The Demons have shown flashes of brilliance throughout 2016, but they have failed to consistently put together quality performances week in, week out to have a sustained run of success.
The big question out of this match – are the Demon defenders capable of quieting the most dangerous forward line in the league?
We do not think so.
The Crows should be too strong for the Demons and we are expecting the visitors to record a comfortable victory.