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AFL 2020 Betting Update: Richmond returns to the top

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There’s only one round to go before the AFL season transitions into the 2020 finals, meaning this will be the last week for several of the major AFL futures markets. Online bookmakers have suspended Coleman Medal betting with Tom Hawkins nine goals clear, so we might look at some different options this week.

Richmond topples Geelong in AFL Premiership odds

Richmond’s convincing win over Geelong in round 17 has given the Tigers outright favouritism at $3.75 in the AFL Premiership market at Sportsbet.

The AFL released a statement regarding finals venues, announcing that clubs will be given the right to preference which stadiums they wish to play if given the choice.

That means Port Adelaide will stay in South Australia for the first week of finals, while the West Coast Eagles will have the chance to play at Optus Stadium if they finish fifth.

The Power sit on top of the ladder and are guaranteed a home final, making their $7 premiership odds very enticing given a win would secure them a preliminary final at Adelaide Oval.

Even after losing to the Tigers, the Cats are well backed at $5, while the Brisbane Lions ($5.50) and West Coast ($11) round out the major chances.

Collingwood ($17) looms as the value in the market with Jordan De Goey and Adam Treloar back on the park, and that price could drop sharply if the Magpies knock off the Power in round 18.

Team 2020 AFL Premiership odds
Richmond +275 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Geelong +400 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Brisbane Lions +450 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Port Adelaide +600 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
West Coast Eagles +1000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Collingwood +1600 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Western Bulldogs +2200 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
St Kilda +8000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Melbourne +10000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
GWS Giants +15000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet

See more AFL futures odds at Sportsbet

Boak firms in Brownlow Medal betting

Lachie Neale will win the 2020 Brownlow Medal unless he is suspended in round 18, so most of the money is going into markets that exclude the Brisbane midfielder.

We identified Travis Boak and Marcus Bontempelli in our last Brownlow Medal update, as both looked great value at $6 and $21 respectively to run second behind Neale.

Boak has lifted in the midfield for the Power in recent weeks and flown ahead of Christian Petracca, who hasn’t put a foot wrong for the Demons either.

We still like Bontempelli at $11, as he was in the best for the Bulldogs again in round 17 with 28 touches, seven centre clearances and two important contested marks.

Jack Macrae had short odds in 2019 but still finished tied with Bontempelli in eighth position, even though he had a career-best season and dominated the disposal tally.

Petracca might be the best choice at $5, as the Melbourne midfielder hits the scoreboard more often than most of his rivals.

Latest 2020 Brownlow Medal odds

Player 2020 Brownlow Medal odds (w/o Lachie Neale)
Travis Boak (Port Adelaide) +150 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Christian Petracca (Melbourne) +400 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Jack Steele (St Kilda) +800 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Jack Macrae (Western Bulldogs) +900 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs) +1000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong) +1000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Dustin Martin (Richmond) +1200 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Max Gawn (Melbourne) +2500 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Patrick Cripps (Carlton) +2500 Best Odds @ Sportsbet

More players quoted at Sportsbet.com.au

Serong and Anderson lead Rising Star betting

Has there been a crazier year in the AFL Rising Star race?

We first had Matthew Rowell pay out for the award before going down with a season-ending injury, moving the favouritism along to Izak Rankine.

Rankine exploded onto the scene with a couple of dominant performances but has since drifted away in the race, leaving Fremantle pocket-rocket Caleb Serong to take top spot.

Serong has led the market since round 14, but we have our eyes on another option.

Our choice for the Rising Star is $4 chance Noah Anderson, who has gone under the radar somewhat despite a terrific first season for the Suns.

Both Serong and Anderson average around 16 touches per game, although Anderson has made more appearances in his debut season.

The main difference between these two young stars is their position, as Serong works as an inside midfielder and Anderson has been very clean on the wing.

Player 2020 AFL Rising Star odds
Caleb Serong (Fremantle)* -200 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Noah Anderson (Gold Coast Suns)* +300 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Izak Rankine (Gold Coast Suns)* +1000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Max King (St Kilda)* +1600 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Matt Rowell (Gold Coast Suns)* +2000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Jake Riccardi (GWS Giants)* +3300 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Will Day (Hawthorn)* +3300 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Connor Budarick (Gold Coast Suns)* +4000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Mitch Georgiades (Port Adelaide)* +4000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Brandon Starcevich (Brisbane Lions)* +4000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Luke Jackson (Melbourne)* +5000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet

More players quoted at Sportsbet.com.au

Who’s going to make the AFL Grand Final?

The quinella market requires you to pick the two teams you believe will play in the 2020 AFL Grand Final, regardless of who wins it all.

Any option involving Port Adelaide is a good choice in our eyes, as they will play their first final at Adelaide Oval and have the chance to secure a preliminary final at home too.

The Brisbane Lions have been strong without star fullback Harris Andrews, who is still over a month away due to a hamstring issue, although one could argue that the Queensland hubs have diminished their home advantage to some extent.

In our eyes, the $7 for a Port Adelaide/Richmond decider is hard to beat.

Teams 2020 AFL Rising Star odds
Geelong/Richmond +400 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Brisbane/Richmond +450 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Brisbane/Geelong +500 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Port Adelaide/Richmond +600 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Geelong/Port Adelaide +800 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Brisbane/Port Adelaide +1000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Richmond/West Coast +1000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Brisbane/West Coast +1200 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Port Adelaide/West Coast +1400 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Geelong/Collingwood +1600 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Brisbane/Collingwood +2000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet
Collingwood/Richmond +2000 Best Odds @ Sportsbet

More odds quoted at Sportsbet.com.au

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