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AFL Grand Final betting guide

Richmond 2017 Grand Final

The 2019 AFL Grand Final will be played on Saturday September 28, 2018 at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.

As always, it promises to be one of the most bet-upon events on the Australian calendar, with the weekend then being capped off by the NRL Grand Final on the Sunday night.

BettingSite.com.au loves GF weekend and everything in the lead up, including the Rising Star Award, the Brownlow Medal and all of the exotic markets within.

Quick grand final questions answered

What is the best bookie for AFL grand final?

The AFL grand final can bring out the best in bookies with one of the bigger wagering events in Australia. The question we get posed the most is what is the best betting site for the AFL?

While Sportsbet and BetEasy share equal billing as the place to wager on AFL games, there are plenty of good, legal options for Australians to bet with. Depending on the state you are from you may be able to claim promotions surrounding AFL games. These promos will ramp up during the 2019 finals series and we will cover them extensively when they are released.

NB: Australians can no longer claim sign up bonuses at online bookmakers, with the National Gambling Framework banning bonuses them until further notice.

2019 AFL Grand Final betting

Winner (AFL 2019)

28th of September 2019

Richmond Tigers
$2.60
West Coast Eagles
$3.25
Geelong Cats
$4.00
Brisbane Lions
$4.50
Collingwood Magpies
$7.00
Western Bulldogs
$16.00
Greater Western Sydney
$25.00
Essendon Bombers
$40.00
Port Adelaide Power
$100.00
Adelaide Crows
$150.00
Hawthorn Hawks
$200.00

Head-to-head betting and line betting

A head to heat bet or a ‘win bet’ is the most popular bet people will have on an AFL game.

Invariably the Grand Final pits two of the best teams of the year against each other, which means the odds will be much more even than they are throughout the season. Also, due to the sheer amount of money put into the market on this one, the agencies usually offer huge money back specials on head-to-head markets throughout the game.

Line betting will give you better odds on a straight head-to-head market to if you are prepared to concede a head start to another team. It is also a great saver bet if you think your team is in with a chance but you are not absolutely certain they can be in front when the final siren sounds.

Both head-to-head and line betting is available throughout the match, but bear in mind that due to the fluctuations in matches the odds will change rapidly. Australians are restricted in betting live on the internet, but most corporate bookmakers will have a phone line that you can call and place bets during the course of a game.

Norm Smith Medal betting

The Norm Smith medal is awarded to the player adjudged best afield in the AFL Grand Final.

Five members of the media are given the honour of selecting the winner through a 3,2,1 voting system, with one of the five appointed the chairman.

There will only ever be an individual winner of the Norm Smith medal, with a count-back system awarding the medal to whoever accumulated the most best on ground votes as allocated by the judges on the day. If there is still a tie the chairman has the deciding vote.

The Norm Smith medal has live-betting all throughout the match, with markets closing late in the fourth quarter. In 2014, punters were still able to get $6.50 live on the Norm Smith medal winner Luke Hodge deep into the final quarter due to the fact there were no standout performers in the contest.

It pays to check the statistics and figures on the match before making a live-bet, with kicks and handballs not the be-all and end-all when it comes to influence. New stats such as score involvements, pressure acts and score chain possessions will greatly assist in helping you find and winner on the live betting side of things.

In 2017 Richmond superstar Dustin Martin capped his perfect season by winning the Norm Smith Medal just five days after winning the Brownlow Medal. He was the $4.75 favourite at Sportsbet.

First goalscorer betting

Outside of Norm Smith betting, betting on who will kick the first goal in the AFL Grand Final is always a hot bet going into the match. The idea is simple — either select a player you think will kick the first goal of the entire match, or select a particular player from their respective team to kick the first goal.

This means if his opponent nails the first goal of the contest, you are still in with a chance to make a collect on the game.

This bet also works in as a popular multiple bet, with the first goal scorer/match winner double typically a favoured multi bet coming into the big dance.

Some agencies feature a first goal scorer bet for each quarter too, so if you feel robbed that your guy missed a goal from five metres out, there is always next quarter.

In 2017, Crow midfielder Rory Sloane floated forward to take a chest mark and kick truly from a set shot. He was paying $25 at online bookmakers.

Most possessions betting

Another one of the self-explanatory bets but a critically hard one to master. The most possessions bet through some agencies has the overall market, but typically the big agencies will split key possession gathers into two groups and will only compete against five other players.

In games throughout the season most possession bets start and end prior to the match, but in the AFL Grand Final live betting for most possessions runs all the way through the match.

Sometimes this market correlates directly with the Norm Smith voting, due the fact that if you have the most possessions in a game you are typically exerting the most influence on the outcome.

In 2017, Adelaide midfielder Matt Crouch broke all kinds of records on the way to 37 disposals. He was the favourite in the disposals market at $1.90.

Aussie online betting sites

All the best betting agencies have multiple markets on the game, as well as promotions throughout the season and leading right up to the game. Any company who truly values their position in the sports betting market will have a multitude of options to choose from when it comes to odds, markets and specials so you will never be bereft of choice when the big dance rolls around.

Recent AFL Grand Final results