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2020 Melbourne Cup betting tips & runner-by-runner guide

Melbourne Cup betting

Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m)
When Tuesday, November 3 at 3pm AEDT
Where Flemington Racecourse – Melbourne Victoria
Watch live Ten Network, Racing.com

It is the race that stops the nation, and this year’s running of the Melbourne Cup will be unique. Now worth $7,750,000, the 3200m race is one that changes people’s lives forever and sends the winner into every history book.

The likes of Dashing Willoughby, Twilight Payment and Master Of Reality look to be the ones who will take up the running and set the tempo. The Melbourne Cup jumps at 3pm AEDT, so make sure you have a comfy spot on the couch and a beer ready to go.

Anthony Van Dyck

1

Anthony Van Dyck (3)

Anthony Van Dyck
Hugh Bowman
Aidan O'Brien
ireland flagIreland
jockey5YO Bay Horse
jockeyHugh Bowman (58.5kg)
trainerAidan O’Brien

Win: $8.50

Place: $2.90

Best odds at Neds

The Aidan O’Brien-trained import was an eye-catching runner from the back of the field in the Caulfield Cup, where he had no other choice but to settle deep drawing the car park. He looked to be the winner with 200m to go when letting down with a huge turn of foot, but the eventual winner, Verry Elleegant, just kept finding to hold out the import. He has plenty of support, but the two miles, firm track and big weight are all queries.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Avilius

2

Avilius (10)

Avilius
John Allen
James Cummings
uk flagUnited Kingdom
jockey7YO Brown Gelding
jockeyJohn Allen (57kg)
trainerJames Cummings

Win: $51.00

Place: $12.00

Best odds at Ladbrokes

The Godolophin 7YO has been far from his best heading into another run in the Melbourne Cup. He’s a galloper who prefers the sting out of the ground, and with a perfect spring day on the agenda, he looks to be a genuine outsider in the Melbourne Cup. His run two starts back in the Hill Stakes showed he can still handle a firmer track, but then he failed to make an impact in the Caulfield Cup a fortnight later.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Vow And Declare

3

Vow And Declare (4)

Vow And Declare
Jamie Mott
Danny O'Brien

australia flagAustralia
jockey5YO Chestnut Gelding
jockeyJamie Mott (57kg)
trainerDanny O’Brien

Win: $51.00

Place: $13.00

Best odds at Palmerbet

The winner of the 2019 Melbourne Cup comes back to defend his crown 12 months later. Unfortunately for connections, he looks like he is going to struggle this time around after being one of the first horses beaten in the Caulfield Cup a fortnight ago. Since winning the Melbourne Cup, the Danny O’Brien-trained gelding has only run into the placings on one occasion. He looks set to be one of the runners in the ‘also ran’ category.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Master Of Reality

4

Master Of Reality (11)

Master Of Reality
Ben Melham
Aidan O'Brien

ireland flagIreland
jockey6YO Bay Gelding
jockeyBen Melham (56kg)
trainerAidan O’Brien

Win: $26.00

Place: $7.00

Best odds at Bet365

Joseph O’Brien will be hoping his gelding makes amends for his result in last year’s Melbourne Cup, where he was relegated from second to fourth in the steward’s rooms after causing interference in the closing stages. Since then, he has gone back to Ireland and put in a consistent stretch of form culminating in a win in the Her Majesty Plate at Down Royal back in early September. He looks to be one of the leaders, and it may be worth putting him into exotics based on his run in last year’s Cup.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Sir Dragonet

5

Sir Dragonet (14)

Sir Dragonet
Glen Boss
Ciaron Maher & David Eustace

ireland flagIreland
jockey5YO Bay Horse
jockeyGlen Boss (55.5kg)
trainerCiaron Maher & David Eustace

Win: $10.00

Place: $3.30

Best odds at Neds

It’s hard to ignore the hype around the Cox Plate winner after his barnstorming finish to take out the second of three majors during the Melbourne Spring Carnival. He would prefer the sting out of the ground, but there’s no reason to say that he cannot win this race based on his efforts in the Cox Plate. He drops 3.5kg in the weights and will be one of the few fighting out the finish here.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Twilight Payment

6

Twilight Payment (12)

Twilight Payment
Jye McNeil
Joseph O'Brien

ireland flagIreland
jockey8YO Bay Horse
jockeyJye McNeil (55.5kg)
trainerJoseph O’Brien

Win: $27.00

Place: $7.50

Best odds at Sportsbet

The Joseph O’Brien-trained gelding absolutely bolted in the Curragh Cup two starts ago, winning by eight lengths over Master Of Reality and some 15 lengths ahead of the runner in third. He was a touch disappointing in his run in the Melbourne Cup last year but will take benefit from that experience. If he has enough left in the tank at the top of the straight, he could prove hard to catch if that run at the Curragh is anything to go by.


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This is my table


Verry Elleegant

7

Verry Elleegant (15)

Verry Elleegant
Mark Zahra
Chris Waller

new zealand flagNew Zealand
jockey5YO Brown Mare
jockeyMark Zahra (55.5kg)
trainerChris Waller

Win: $13.00

Place: $4.00

Best odds at Bet365

Chris Waller and Mark Zahra will attempt to do the Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup double with Verry Elleegant, who gets in well at the weights despite her last-start victory. She looked to be a touch vulnerable at the 100m mark in the Caulfield Cup when Anthony Van Dyck was descending on her, but she found plenty to keep the import at bay. She looks to be the best of the local hopes in this year’s Cup, and if she can run out the two miles, then she will be right there when the whips are cracking.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Mustajeer

8

Mustajeer (2)

Mustajeer
Michael Rodd
Kris Lees

uk flagUnited Kingdom
jockey8YO Brown Gelding
jockeyMichael Rodd (55kg)
trainerKris Lees

Win: $101.00

Place: $26.00

Best odds at Unibet

Kris Lees is a remarkable trainer, but if he can somehow win the Melbourne Cup with this out-of-form gelding, then it may go down as his best-ever training performance. In his last seven starts, Mustajeer has not got within three lengths of the eventual winner. In plenty of those events, he was chasing home runners he will come up against in the Melbourne Cup.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Stratum Albion

9

Stratum Albion (9)

Stratum Albion
Jordan Childs
Willie Mullins

uk flagUnited Kingdom
jockey8YO Bay Gelding
jockeyJordan Childs (55kg)
trainerWillie Mullins

Win: $41.00

Place: $11.00

Best odds at Sportsbet

Willie Mullins looks to be having a throw at the stumps with this 8YO gelding, who comes to Australia for the first time with no black-type wins to his name in the UK. It seems a bit strange he is $34 or shorter in some markets, considering he looks to lack a little bit of class that his rivals have. There are far better options at odds.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Dashing Willoughby

10

Dashing Willoughby (19)

Dashing Willoughby
Michael Walker
Andrew Balding

uk flagUnited Kingdom
jockey5YO Bay Gelding
jockeyMichael Walker (54.5kg)
trainerAndrew Balding

Win: $101.00

Place: $26.00

Best odds at Bet365

If we are not too keen on Stratum Albion’s chances, what does it say for the gelding who finished behind him in a recent race at York back in August? He was the first one beaten in the Caulfield Cup when dramatically dropping back through the field, and the $101 looks to be a touch under the odds as he steps up to an even tougher assignment.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Finche

11

Finche (6)

Finche
James McDonald
Chris Waller

uk flagUnited Kingdom
jockey7YO Chestnut Gelding
jockeyJames McDonald (54.5kg)
trainerChris Waller

Win: $18.00

Place: $5.00

Best odds at Sportsbet

Is there a more honest horse than this 7YO gelding? He is always there or thereabouts when the whips are cracking, and he looks primed to give this a real shake for his grand final. He was only beaten a length and a half in the Melbourne Cup last year, and he looks well placed to breakthrough at his third attempt. He doesn’t possess the turn of foot some his rivals have, but he will stay all day and has to be included in any exotics you are playing.


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This is my table


Prince Of Arran

12

Prince Of Arran (1)

Prince Of Arran
Jameie Kah
Charlie Fellowes

uk flagUnited Kingdom
jockey8YO Bay Gelding
jockeyJamie Kah (54.5kg)
trainerCharlie Fellowes

Win: $11.00

Place: $3.60

Best odds at Unibet

Charlie Fellowes’ 8YO is basically a local now. The import seems to grow a leg when he arrives in Australia, and his form over his past campaigns here show he is primed second up. From barrier one with Jamie Kah on board, there seems to be no reason why he cannot improve on his second in the race last year, where he looked the winner with 150m to go. His run in the Caulfield Cup was massive, and there would be no big shock if he takes out this year’s Melbourne Cup.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Surprise Baby

13

Surprise Baby (7)

Surprise Baby
Craig Williams
Paul Preusker

nz flagNew Zealand
jockey6YO Bay or Brown Gelding
jockeyCraig Williams (54.5kg)
trainerPaul Preusker

Win: $9.50

Place: $3.20

Best odds at Sportsbet

A year ago, Paul Preusker’s 6YO gelding seemed our best hope in the Melbourne Cup. His run didn’t disappoint, finishing under a length of Vow And Declare when charging down the outside late. He enters this year’s cup third up and will be looking for more luck than what he got in the Turnbull, where he continually managed to find trouble. Importantly, Craig Williams cherry picked him as his ride in the Cup. From barrier seven, there should not be many excuses if he isn’t fighting out the finish.


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This is my table


King Of Leogrance

14

King Of Leogrance (18)

King Of Leogrance
Damian Lane
Danny O'Brien

france flagFrance
jockey6YO Bay Gelding
jockeyDamian Lane (53.5kg)
trainerDanny O’Brien

This year’s Adelaide Cup winner will look to build on his second-up run in the Geelong Cup, where he returned to some of his old ways when making up plenty of ground along the rails before peaking on his run late. There is no doubt he is as tough as old boots, but at this stage in his career, this looks to be a bridge too far.


Can King Of Leogrance win The Cup?

The history buffs would be completely turned off by barrier 18, so we’ll say no. His form hasn’t really been good enough, but he will stay the trip and did beat Ashrun home at Geelong who is a live chance.

*** UPDATE ***
King of Leogrance has been scratched from the Melbourne Cup (Flemington Race 7) at 7.38am by the Stewards acting on veterinary advice. The horse was inspected by RV veterinarians upon request of the stable and was found to be lame in its off fore leg.

United States This is my table

This is my table


Russian Camelot

15

Russian Camelot (16)

Russian Camelot
Damien Oliver
Danny O'Brien

ireland flagIreland
jockey4YO Bay or Brown Horse
jockeyDamien Oliver (53.5kg)
trainerDanny O’Brien

Win: $13.00

Place: $3.90

Best odds at Palmerbet

Has there ever been a more spoken-about local hope in recent years than Russian Camelot? There is no doubt he is super talented, but could the two miles be a touch too far for him? His win in the SA Derby over 2500m was breathtaking, but that was during his three-year-old campaign. This time in, he just hasn’t been able to piece it all together as nicely as he would have liked. He was the best of the local brigade in the Cox Plate and loomed into the race nicely, hitting the lead at the 150m mark before being claimed late. He has to be included in any exotics.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Steel Prince

16

Steel Prince (21)

Steel Prince
William Pike
Anthony & Sam Freedman

ireland flagIreland
jockey7YO Bay Gelding
jockeyWilliam Pike (53.5kg)
trainerAnthony & Sam Freedman

Win: $41.00

Place: $11.00

Best odds at Bet365

There hasn’t been much to turn the eye at so far this campaign from the Anthony Freedman galloper, who was a dominant winner in the Geelong Cup last start to seal his place in the Melbourne Cup. He was far from disgraced in last year’s Cup, where he was just two lengths off the leaders, and has seemingly taken improvement from his time in the paddock since then. He could be one of the better value bets for the Cup.


United States This is my table

This is my table


The Chosen One

17

The Chosen One (5)

The Chosen One
Daniel Stackhouse
Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman

new zealand flagNew Zealand
jockey5YO Bay Horse
jockeyDaniel Stackhouse (53.5kg)
trainerMurray Baker & Andrew Forsman

Win: $41.00

Place: $10.00

Best odds at Neds

The five-year-old entire surprised many when he ran third to Verry Elleegant and Anthony Van Dyck in the Caulfield Cup, after being plain in the Underwood and Herbert Power Stakes leading up to it. He was a winner first-up at Flemington over 1700m, and should appreciate getting back to the big track. He only battled away in this race last year, and has run a narrow second in the Sydney Cup over the same distance in the Autumn, but this is much harder. If he replicates his Caulfield Cup effort, he is a big smokey.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Ashrun

18

Ashrun (24)

Ashrun
Declan Bates
Andreas Wohler

france flagFrance
jockey5YO Bay Horse
jockeyDeclan Bates (53kg)
trainerAndreas Wohler

Win: $21.00

Place: $6.00

Best odds at Ladbrokes

The Chosen One ran the race of his life in the Caulfield Cup, where he was beaten by a length in a race that looked to be a bit too hard for him. Now, we aren’t saying he is going to go out there and blitz them in the Melbourne Cup, but there have been plenty of runners go around in these types of races at shorter odds that have provided less of a sight than what he will.


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This is my table


Warning

19

Warning (8)

Warning
Luke Currie
Anthony & Sam Freedman

australia flagAustralia
jockey4YO Chestnut Gelding
jockeyLuke Currie (53kg)
trainerAnthony & Sam Freedman

Win: $51.00

Place: $12.00

Best odds at Sportsbet

The winner of last year’s VRC Derby looks like he is going to appreciate the step out to two miles for the first time in his career. Connections have been setting him for this run in the Melbourne Cup, and if his run two starts back in the Turnbull Stakes is anything to go by, he has the ability to match it with the best here. He has already won twice at Flemington, and if you are playing any exotics in the Cup, then you must include him.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Etah James

20

Etah James (22)

Etah James
Billy Egan
Ciaron Maher & David Eustace

new zealand flagNew Zealand
jockey8YO Brown Mare
jockeyBilly Egan (52.5kg)
trainerCiaron Maher & David Eustace

Win: $151.00

Place: $34.00

Best odds at Bet365

The Maher & Eustace stable may have some easier things in mind for their 8YO mare during the back end of the Spring Carnival, as she looks to have next to no chance in the Melbourne Cup after losing by a combined 13 lengths in her last two starts in similar company. She is $201 at some online bookmakers for a reason.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Tiger Moth

21

Tiger Moth (23)

Tiger Moth
Kerrin McEvoy
Aidan O'Brien

ireland flagIreland
jockey4YO Bay Horse
jockeyKerrin McEvoy (52.5kg)
trainerAidan O’Brien

Win: $8.50

Place: $2.90

Best odds at Unibet

After taking out the Group 3 Kilternan Stakes in Leopardstown seven weeks ago, the world stood up and took notice of Aidan O’Brien’s 4YO on his way to a Melbourne Cup. He was the pre-draw favourite, but after pulling barrier 23, he was a quick drifter as many astute judges believe he can only go to the rear of the field from that gate. He only just missed out on claiming the Irish Derby earlier in the year, and with a steer from Kerrin McEvoy – arguably Australia’s best ‘big time’ jockey at the moment – he looks to be another one who will be fighting out the finish.


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This is my table


Oceanex

22

Oceanex (17)

Oceanex
Dean Yendall
Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr)

new zealand flagNew Zealand
jockey5YO Bay or Brown Mare
jockeyDean Yendall (51.5kg)
trainerMick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr)

Win: $71.00

Place: $18.00

Best odds at PlayUp

Mick Price’s 5YO mare won her way into the Melbourne Cup by taking out the win in the Andrew Ramsden Stakes earlier in the year when proving too strong for King Of Leogrance. Despite a last-start third in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup, this looks to be a bit too hard for the on-pace galloper, but we all know strangers things have happened in the Cup.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Miami Bound

23

Miami Bound (13)

Miami Bound
Daniel Moor
Danny O'Brien

new zealand flagNew Zealand
jockey4YO Bay Mare
jockeyDaniel Moor (51kg)
trainerDanny O’Brien

Win: $41.00

Place: $10.00

Best odds at Neds

At one stage this campaign, many punters thought last year’s VRC Oaks winner was headed for retirement. Instead, she bounced back in fine style when blowing rivals away in the Moonee Valley Gold Cup. She gets into the Melbourne Cup with only 51kg on her back, and if her last-start effort is anything to go by, it will take a brave judge to say she is no chance in running into the money.


United States This is my table

This is my table


Persan

24

Persan (20)

Persan
Michael Dee
Ciaron Maher & David Eustace

australia flagAustralian
jockey4YO Brown Horse
jockeyMichael Dee (51kg)
trainerCiaron Maher & David Eustace/h5>

Win: $31.00

Place: $8.00

Best odds at Ladbrokes

The Maher & Eustace 4YO won his way into the Melbourne Cup when taking out the Bart Cummings four weeks ago at Flemington in impressive style, and who is to say he can’t be fighting out the finish? He is yet to run outside of the quinella in any of his last nine starts, and despite having only his third run in a Group 1 on Tuesday, he looks to be one of the best roughies in the race with only 51kg on his back and winning form on his side.


United States This is my table

This is my table

Best bets for Melbourne Cup 2020

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