Melbourne Storm – $1.62 at Sportsbet
Brisbane Broncos – $2.25
What better way to open the 2019 NRL Premiership season than with a blockbuster bout between two of the competition’s powerhouse teams?
The Melbourne Storm made it to yet another grand final last year, but they were well beaten on the night by an impressive Sydney Roosters outfit.
That was Billy Slater’s last dance in a Storm jersey, while his long-time pal Cooper Cronk was pulling the strings for the opposition.
That leaves Cameron Smith as the last man standing of Melbourne’s Big Three, so it begs the question: is this the end of an era at AAMI Park?
Even with Cronk and Slater gone, the Storm boast an embarrassment of riches all over the park.
Cameron Munster has long eyed off the no.1 shirt, Brodie Croft is one of the game’s brightest young stars, and the wing pairing of Josh Addo-Carr and Suliasi Vunivalu is absolute dynamite.
How will they fare against a Brisbane Broncos side that has eyes only for the flag?
The great Wayne Bennett is gone, but all the right noises are coming out of Red Hill after Anthony Seibold’s appointment as head coach.
There is particular hype around the preseason form of star half Anthony Milford, who has firmed into $21 in the Dally M Medal betting at Sportsbet.
Tevita Pangai Junior enjoyed a breakout 2018 after settling in at prop, while Jack Bird will be eager to put a miserable year behind him and bolster his State of Origin chances with some strong early displays.
Towering winger Corey Oates is another who will want to prove his worth after suffering a series of misfortunes over the past two years.
Best bets for first tryscorer
- First tryscorer – $8.50
- Two or more tries – $4.50
- Anytime tryscorer – $1.67
It didn’t seem possible two years ago, but Addo-Carr may well have usurped Suli Vunivalu as the most dangerous winger in the competition. We like the $4.50 about him to hit the line at least twice.
- First tryscorer – $15
- Two or more tries – $10
- Anytime tryscorer – $2.60
Roberts has shown in recent years that he is one of Brisbane’s better bets in the big games. The $15 quote for first tryscorer is tempting, but a much more realistic option is the $2.60 to cross at any time.
Key stats for Melbourne Storm
- The Storm have won each of their last 16 opening-round games in the NRL.
- Melbourne have also won 16 of their last 17 night games against the Broncos.
- Josh Addo-Carr has scored in each of his last five night games against Brisbane.
Key stats for Brisbane Broncos
- Kodi Nikorima has notched a try in each of his last four games for Brisbane.
- Corey Oates has scored tries in four of the last five games where the Broncos were outsiders.
- Brisbane have won the first half in each of their last three away games as underdogs.
Storm vs. Broncos betting predictions
It is the first game of a brand new season, so it would be foolish to draw too heavily on past form.
However, Melbourne’s long-running record of first-round wins bodes ill for the visitors, as does their head-to-head slate under lights.
There are only a few situations where you consider betting against the Storm at home, and this is not one of them.
Back Craig Bellamy’s men to cover the line with yet another winning start.
Melbourne Storm -3.5 – $1.90 at Sportsbet
Broncos vs Roosters NRL Round 4 betting tips
Broncos vs Eels NRL Round 3 betting tips & odds
NRL 2020 Premiership odds & predictions – the contenders
Cowboys vs Broncos NRL Round 1 betting tips
Eels vs Broncos betting predictions, tips and odds
Broncos vs Eels betting tips, odds and predictions
Broncos vs Rabbitohs tips, betting odds and predictions
2019 NRL Round 22 betting preview – Broncos vs Panthers