Gold Coast v Adelaide betting tips & prediction – AFL Rd 14

Can the Gold Coast Suns post another big home win when they host the Adelaide Crows at Metricon Stadium on Sunday in round 14 AFL action?

The Suns are a short-priced favourite with AFL betting sites at $1.18, but the Crows have some weapons and the $5.20 up for grabs seems like good value.

There is much to like about the Gold Coast’s progress in 2022. Coach Stuart Dew was under immense pressure to get his team heading in the right direction, and his young charges have responded and now sit just two wins outside the top eight.

The Suns will be looking to put on another big home performance here following impressive wins over the Kangaroos, Hawks, and Dockers.

According to our stats team, the Suns are fourth for inside 50s, sixth for tackles, third for clearances, and first for hit-outs. These statistics clearly paint the Suns as favourite here, but their opponent is coming off a win.

Adelaide finally chalked up a much-needed victory when they defeated the lowly Eagles in round 12 following a series of tough losses. It is hard to imagine they will pose much threat to the Suns here, barring some miraculous form reversal. Like most struggling sides, Adelaide is much more likely to spring an upset at home than on the road.

Below are our free Gold Coast v Adelaide tips and best bets for their round 14 fixture, being played from 3.20pm on Sunday.

Suns v Crows key match-up

With pundits speculating on possible All Australian inclusion, Suns midfielder Touk Miller is receiving the type of attention he deserves. The unassuming Suns captain is a workhorse in the middle, averaging 28.3 disposals, 16.8 kicks, 7.6 clearances, and five tackles per game in 2022 while also directing his young teammates. This is an elite set of stats that could put him in Brownlow Medal calculations and we are expecting another big effort here.

Crows midfielder Rory Laird has been playing an almost solo hand for his team this season. Laird is averaging 32.1 disposals, 7.1 tackles, and 7.6 clearances and is also seen as a strong All Australian candidate at this stage of the year. This contest should be a belter, and if Miller is able to get the better of Laird the Suns should stroll home. Miller versus Laird is our key match-up.

Gold Coast v Adelaide tips & betting strategy

The Suns are predictably short here, but the line has been set at a tantalising 29.5 points. Although not a huge scoring team, we are happy to wade in and bet that the Gold Coast can hit the scoreboard and cover that spread. Their forward line has grown in confidence as the season has progressed, and they put 121 points on the Hawks in round 11 and booted 109 points versus the Kangaroos in round 12 after a slow start. So, with some confidence, we are backing the Suns -29.5, available at Australian bookmakers, at around the $1.90 mark.

Suns v Crows same Game multi picks

For the value-junkies, we have constructed a same game combo that will salute should our scoring prediction hold. We will take the Suns -29.5, into Mabior Chol 2+ goals, into Joel Jeffrey 2+ goals, into Touk Miller 25+ disposals. This will return $4.29 courtesy of Ladbrokes Australia and should add some excitement to the game. We are bullish on young Suns forward Jeffrey and will watch his progress intently.

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