Geelong vs Brisbane AFL Friday betting tips & odds – Rd 4, 2022

Both Geelong and Brisbane bring some serious momentum into round four of the 2022 AFL season, but only one team can leave Kardinia Park on Friday night with all four points.

In a game that was worthy of a final, Geelong pulled off a massive come-from-behind performance to beat the red-hot Magpies in round three. Modern football is all about momentum, and this game had two of the biggest swings you are likely to witness. First the Pies had an epic run to set up a 37-point lead deep in the third quarter, but the Cats held their nerve, steadied, and somehow reeled in the deficit to post a 13-point win for the ages.

The Brisbane Lions, on the other hand, come off a virtual practice match against North Melbourne. It’s always good to see ambitious young sides go in for the kill, and Brisbane did not relent until the hapless Kangaroos were 96 points in arrears. The Lions are warming up nicely, and an away match against stiff competition in the Cats will let us know where they are positioned.

Online bookmakers have judged this game a near coin-flip with the Cats just slightly favoured to grab the victory. The line has been set at a very skinny 3.5 points, but the question here is: Will the Cats be fully recovered from the taxing win against Collingwood, or will the Lions be the fresher side after their gentle stroll? We’re expecting the Lions to get a last-quarter momentum swing as they pounce on the tiring Cats.

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Key matchup: Jeremy Cameron vs Marcus Adams

When the Geelong forward line is firing it can be almost impossible to contain, as evidenced by Jeremy Cameron’s heroic six-goal haul against the Pies. The Cameron-Hawkins combination can be the stuff of defensive nightmares. Key Brisbane defender Marcus Adams routinely shows up with impressive intercept mark numbers and will have a big job here cutting off the Geelong supply lines.

Geelong vs Brisbane betting strategy

We’re focusing on the last quarter in this game. The Lions to win the final stanza is paying $2 on BetOnline, and we are going to give it a decent nudge. This seems a smarter play than betting at the line or backing the Lions straight-up. The Cats might win the game, but if the Lions finish strong, we’ll be in the money.

Geelong vs Brisbane same-game multi tips

We’re going to link the fourth-quarter bet with some obvious Geelong goalscorers. The Cats have a more predictable route to goal with their twin tall forwards, so this is a relatively reliable market. We’ll take the Lions +1.5 in the last quarter, into Tom Hawkins to kick a goal in the first quarter, into Jeremy Cameron to kick two or more goals for the game. This combo will return $5.25.

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