Finding winners in the round 11 AFL multi of the week
WE are less than halfway through the 2016 home and away season, but it already looks like the final-eight is set in stone.
Eighth-placed Adelaide is at $1.18 to miss the final eight at Sportsbet.com.au, while cross-town rivals Port Adelaide are the best placed team outside finals contention to displace the Crows at $5.00
While we still have a long wait until the finals roll around; the tussle at the tail end of the ladder looms as an entertaining spectacle.
The two bottom placed teams in Essendon and Fremantle clash at Domain Stadium on Saturday night, where the loser will most likely finish on bottom and secure the coveted number one pick in the draft.
Enough about the future, let’s look to this round, more specifically at our multi.
All odds this week are provided by Sportsbet.com.au,who are offering anyone looking to open a new account a matched first bet offer up to the value of $501.
Round 11 AFL multi of the week:
North Melbourne to defeat Richmond ($1.48)
Geelong to beat GWS ($1.55)
Essendon +26.5 to defeat Fremantle ($1.92)
Adelaide to defeat St Kilda ($1.15)
Combined Multi value: $5.06 @ Sportsbet.com.au
North Melbourne vs. Richmond
Friday, June 3 from 7.50pm at Blundstone Arena, Hobart
For the first time in AFL history Friday night footy takes place in Tasmania.
North Melbourne and Richmond clash under lights in Hobart to kick off the round of footy and our multi.
The Roos are looking to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season against the Swans last week.
North Melbourne’s advantage at the top of the ladder remains intact after the Cats fell to Carlton, but a loss in Tassie would see them slide down the ladder given the second placed Swans face a lowly Gold Coast Suns outfit on Saturday night.
Richmond made it three wins on the trot against Essendon in the Dreamtime at the ‘G match last Saturday night, winning comfortably against the understrength Bombers.
All the statistics that matter favour the North Melbourne Kangaroos heading into Friday night.
The Roos have won seven of the last nine contests against the Tigers and have tasted success in eight of their last ten visits to Blundstone Arena.
We are backing the league leaders to kick off our multi in style.
Multi tip: North Melbourne to win – $1.48
Geelong vs. GWS
Saturday, June 4 from 4.35pm at Simonds Stadium, Geelong
Two of the league’s best offensive teams clash at Simonds Stadium on Saturday afternoon as Stevie J and the Giants head down to Geelong to face Joel Selwood and the Cats.
Geelong is in dire need of a win after losing back-to-back games against teams outside of finals contention, a loss here would put a significant dent in their top-two aspirations.
The Giants were far from disgraced after their visit to Adelaide Oval on Saturday night.
GWS had a hard time containing Taylor Walker and Eddie Betts; who combined for 10 of their team’s 15 goals.
It is a big match for Tom Hawkins.
The burly forward could only manage one goal against an injury depleted Carlton side, and if the Cats are going to be victorious on Saturday afternoon they will need a big impact from the Tomahawk.
We are backing the Cats to bounce back at home to remain in striking distance of the top-two.
Multi tip: North Melbourne to win – $1.55
Fremantle vs. Essendon
Saturday, June 4 from 7.40pm at Domain Stadium, Perth
The battle of the bottom takes place in the West of Australia on Saturday night as the winless Dockers host the downtrodden Dons at Domain Stadium.
Fremantle found themselves in a winning position against St Kilda last week at Etihad Stadium but the visiting Dockers could not seal the deal despite leading by four goals late in the third quarter.
The Dons were gallant against the Tigers in the Dreamtime at the ‘G clash last Saturday night but failed to capitalise on Richmond’s mistakes; going down by 38 points.
It looms as a morbidly fascinating contest and one that is incredibly hard to pick.
Looking at the line we believe that giving a -26.5 point handicap to a team that has failed to win a game this season and has the second lowest overall score across the league is far too generous.
We expect Essendon to easily cover the 26.5 point line on Saturday night.
Multi tip: Essendon at +26.5 points to win – $1.92
Adelaide vs. St Kilda
Sunday, June 5 from 4.40pm at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
We have chosen to take the safe option on Sunday afternoon to round out the multi this week.
The Crows are coming off the back of arguably their finest win of the season, easily accounting for the white-hot GWS Giants despite wayward kicking in front of goal.
The Saints were lucky to escape Etihad unscathed against the bottom of the table Dockers after the home side overcame a four goal deficit late in the match to record a six-goal win that belied how hard St Kilda made it for themselves.
Although the Saints have recorded two strong victories in the last fortnight, a win against Adelaide would hand them just their first victory over a top-eight side this season.
Adelaide has won seven of their last eight matches against the Saints.
The Crows are formidable at home and should have no problems sweeping aside a St Kilda side who nearly handed Fremantle their first win of the season last week at Etihad Stadium.
Multi tip: Adelaide to win – $1.15
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