Dustin Martin betting specials for Brownlow Medal 2017

DUSTIN Martin will win the 2017 Brownlow Medal.

That is the unanimous consensus within the football community as the annual vote-count approaches.

While Dusty might be unbackable in the outright stakes, online bookmaker Sportsbet.com.au has come up with a number of interesting markets for the Richmond superstar.

Will Martin break the Brownlow record?

• Yes (36+ votes) – $1.53
• Tie (35 votes) – $8
• No (34+ votes) – $3

It was only last year that Patrick Dangerfield collected 35 votes to set a new record under the 3-2-1 system.

Sportsbet has Martin at short-priced odds to better that mark when the results are revealed on Monday night.

The Tiger is paying $1.53 to gather 36 votes or more, while a tally of 34 or less is returning $3.

Will he match Dangerfield’s mark with 35 on the dot? That will get you $8.

How many votes will Dusty win by?

• 13+ votes – $2.50
• 10-12 votes – $3.50
• 7-9 votes – $3.75
• 4-6 votes – $5
• 1-3 votes – $8
• No win – $8

Martin’s bid is helped by a lack of eligible rivals in the Brownlow betting.

Dangerfield was rubbed out late in the year, as was rising Essendon star Zach Merrett.

Injury niggles and form dips curtailed Rory Sloane’s progress after halfway, while Hawthorn probably didn’t win enough games to launch Tom Mitchell into the reckoning.

Thus, a winning margin of 13 votes or more is the short option at $2.50, compared to the $8 price for a gap of three votes or less.

Can Martin beat the Brownlow handicap?

• Dustin Martin (0) – $8
• Patrick Dangerfield (+1.5) – $12
• Tom Mitchell (+11.5) – $8
• Josh Kelly (+12.5) – $12
• Zach Merrett (+14) – $18

More quoted at Sportsbet.com.au

As the roaring favourite, Martin is playing off scratch in the Brownlow Medal handicap betting.

This is where the value comes in, as Dusty is paying $8 to beat the adjusted scores of his competitors.

He shares that quote with Hawks gun Mitchell, who has a head start of 11.5 votes.

Dangerfield (+1.5), Josh Kelly (+12.5), Sloane (+15.5) and Sydney’s Josh Kennedy (+17) are all rated $12 chances.

In what round will Martin win the Brownlow Medal?

• Round 23 – $12
• Round 22 – $4.50
• Round 21 – $2.75
• Round 20 – $2.35
• Round 19 – $5
• Round 18 – $16
• No win – $10

It looks like Dusty has Charlie in the bag, but when will he seal the deal?

According to the odds at Sportsbet, the count is most likely to conclude at either round 20 ($2.35) or round 21 ($2.75).

You can get $12 for it to go down to wire, while a Martin win inside 18 rounds is paying a juicy $16.

Reckon someone will steal his thunder? The field (i.e. every player except Dusty) is returning $10.

Who wins the Brownlow without Dustin Martin?

• Tom Mitchell – $2
• Josh Kelly – $3.50
• Rory Sloane – $8
• Matt Crouch – $10
• Josh P Kennedy – $15

More quoted at Sportsbet.com.au

Who would win if Martin joined Dangerfield, Merrett, et al in the ineligible pile?

Mitchell’s raw numbers for the Hawks make him a real shout, but his polling opportunities are limited by Hawthorn’s return of 10 wins in 2017.

There is a chance the umps didn’t start noticing Kelly and Crouch until mid-season, while Sydney’s 0-6 start leaves Kennedy with a heap of ground to make up on the competition.

Then there is $8 chance Sloane, who may well lead the count at the halfway mark and could add a couple of three-voters later in the year.

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