Carlton vs Collingwood AFL tips, odds & value bets – Rd 23, 2022

The stakes will be sky high when Carlton and Collingwood clash at the MCG this Sunday with finals places on the line.

Carlton were desperately unlucky to lose to the Demons in round 22. The late inclusion of Patrick Cripps spurred the Blues to one of their best performances in recent weeks, and they looked to have the game safely locked away with a minute remaining on the clock. Last-second mistakes, combined with some Demon heroics, have ensured we will now witness a game of enormous implications. A Carlton loss puts them in danger of missing finals, and a Collingwood loss will see them finish outside the top four.

READ: Top AFL betting sites in 2022

Although Carlton’s chances were hampered by some errant kicking in front of goal, they certainly matched the reigning premiers across the park for four quarters. This performance augurs well for their prospects should they scrape into the top eight. A win here over another finals contender will provide a solid platform to launch their finals assault.

Collingwood suffered a one-sided loss to the Swans in round 22. Sydney built a solid early lead in a low-scoring affair, and the patented late Magpie surge failed to materialise. The upside is that all winning streaks must come to an end, and Collingwood have now got their loss out of the way. With either Brisbane or Melbourne set to lose when they clash in round 23, the Pies have been presented with a golden opportunity to secure the coveted September double chance.

The danger is that the Pies will suffer a hit to their previously buoyant confidence levels, but they have won their last eight matches at the MCG, so that should counter any possible deflation.

Key matchup: Patrick Cripps vs Scott Pendlebury

Carlton captain Patrick Cripps was handed a complicated legal lifeline and, despite the additional pressure, played a huge game against the Demons. Cripps grabbed 26 disposals, 10 clearances, and laid 12 tackles. The superstar midfielder is the heart and soul of the Carlton team, and his leadership will prove invaluable to their chances here.

Despite being surrounded by a wave of young talent, Collingwood captain Scott Pendlebury was their best performer against the Swans. He grabbed 26 disposals, eight clearances, two goal assists, and laid four tackles. While he may not be the prolific ball-winner of years gone, Pendlebury still finds time and space amid congestion like few of his peers can. Where once he was the flashy midfielder, the veteran is now the dependable rock in the Collingwood engine room.

Carlton vs Collingwood Rd 23 betting strategy

The online bookies are unable to split these sides and we are presented with coin-flip odds. A tight finish would seemingly favour Collingwood with their long history of prevailing in the close ones. However, after their stinging disappointment against the Demons, Carlton will be determined to slam the door shut should they lead during the fourth quarter. We are tipping the Blues to dig deep and eke out a narrow victory. The possible fly in the ointment is that the Bulldogs lose to the Hawks in Tasmania, where Hawthorn have a strong winning record. If this occurs, the Blues cannot miss the eight and might look to conserve their resources. Our tip is therefore based on the assumption that the Dogs secure the win, meaning the Blues will have everything to play for.

Carlton vs Collingwood AFL same game multi tips

For punters looking to punish the bookies, we suggest linking our Carlton tip into Charlie Curnow 2+ goals, into Harry McKay 2+ goals, into Sam Docherty 25+ disposals. This combo will return $4.24 courtesy of Ladbrokes.


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