Melbourne Storm – $1.90 at Sportsbet
Sydney Roosters – $1.90
The bookies cannot split last year’s NRL Grand Final combatants.
The Melbourne Storm head into Friday’s AAMI Park blockbuster with a perfect record after coming from behind to beat North Queensland last week.
The two Camerons have led the way in the early rounds, with Munster now a $3.50 favourite in the Dally M Medal betting at Sportsbet.
Suliasi Vunivalu missed the trip to Townsville, but the Fijian flyer is back this week and replaces Sandor Earl on the wing.
While Melbourne are top of the ladder, the Sydney Roosters boast the most potent attack in the competition.
The premiers lead the NRL scoring charts with 25 tries and 140 points after their 30-16 win over Cronulla last Saturday.
Sydney’s forward pack is boosted by the return of Jared Waerea-Hargreaves, which sees Zane Tetevano move over to lock.
Isaac Liu is out with a broken finger, but Victor Radley is set to play despite a nasty cut to the head.
Melbourne vs Sydney first tryscorer odds
First tryscorer – $7.50
Two or more tries – $6
Anytime tryscorer – $1.91
JAC is a constant threat and was at the double again in last week’s win over the Cowboys. He might be even more deadly now that his partner in crime, Suli Vunivalu, is back on the opposite flank.
First tryscorer – $11
Two or more tries – $11
Anytime tryscorer – $2.60
Sydney are blessed with scoring options all over park, but there is nobody more dangerous than Mitchell at the minute. The $2.60 about him to score a try at any time looks like very decent value.
Key stats and betting trends
- 28 – Sydney’s average number of points per game this season
- 10.4 – Melbourne’s average number of points conceded each round
- 38.2 – The total points average in matches at AAMI Park this year
- 4 – The number of games the Storm lost at home in 2018
Storm vs Roosters predictions
Whichever way you slice it, this should be a belter.
The Storm were humbled in last year’s GF and have lost two of the game’s all-time greats, but they look as strong as ever and their emerging stars are in fine fettle.
Expect Craig Bellamy’s men to put plenty of work into Sydney five-eighth Luke Keary, who could make his case for an Origin call-up with an assured and influential performance on Friday.
It is almost too close to call, but the home advantage might just tip the balance in Melbourne’s favour.
Melbourne Storm by 1-12 points – $3.10 at Sportsbet
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