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State of Origin Game III preview & betting tips | QLD v NSW

State of Origin III betting tips - Game 3 preview, 2024

Queensland Maroons v New South Wales Blues State Of Origin Betting Odds & Game III Info
Best odds Maroons -114.94 at Bet365 | Blues +100 at Neds
When Wednesday, July 17 | 8:05pm AEST
Where Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Last time they met NSW 38–18 QLD (Game II, June 26)
Watch live Nine, Fox Sports, Kayo

State of Origin Game III best bets

Queensland to win

-114.94
@
Bet365

Valentine Holmes anytime tryscorer

+115
@
Neds

Angus Crichton anytime tryscorer

+310
@
Unibet

Origin III match preview: Queensland v NSW

The stage is set for yet another State of Origin series decider at Suncorp Stadium, with Queensland Maroons set to host a new-look New South Wales outfit on Wednesday night.

The Maroons were disappointing in game two with their set-completion rate, slower play-the-ball speed, and countless missed tackles, losing by 20 points at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on June 26.

NSW’s turn in fortunes after a heavy defeat in Sydney came through keeping all 17 players on the field, a stronger kicking game from recalled halfback Mitchell Moses, and the devastating blend of presence and skill from centre Latrell Mitchell.

The Blues and coach Michael Maguire will be without Mitchell (foot) for the decider, with Newcastle’s Bradman Best named to return in the centres following his debut in last year’s series.

Maroons coach Billy Slater has made several changes following hamstring injuries to his wing combination of Murray Taulagi and Xavier Coates. Selwyn Cobbo has been named on the wing, with Dane Gagai starting in the centres. Jaydn Su’A has been dropped for veteran forward Kurt Capewell, and Kalyn Ponga has been named on the bench.


Maroons v Blues Origin III team lists

Maroons logo

Queensland Maroons

  1. Reece Walsh
  2. Selwyn Cobbo
  3. Dane Gagai
  4. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
  5. Valentine Holmes
  6. Tom Dearden
  7. Daly Cherry-Evans (C)
  8. Reuben Cotter
  9. Ben Hunt
  10. Lindsay Collins
  11. Kurt Capewell
  12. Jeremiah Nanai
  13. Patrick Carrigan
  14. Harry Grant
  15. Moeaki Fotuaika
  16. Felise Kaufusi
  17. Kalyn Ponga
  18. Trent Loiero
NSW Blues logo

New South Wales Blues

  1. Dylan Edwards
  2. Brian To’o
  3. Bradman Best
  4. Stephen Crichton
  5. Zac Lomax
  6. Jarome Luai
  7. Mitchell Moses
  8. Jake Trbojevic (C)
  9. Reece Robson
  10. Payne Haas
  11. Liam Martin
  12. Angus Crichton
  13. Cameron Murray
  14. Connor Watson
  15. Isaah Yeo
  16. Mitchell Barnett
  17. Spencer Leniu
  18. Matt Burton

State of Origin: QLD v NSW match predictions

The Maroons have not lost an Origin decider at Lang Park since 2005, when Andrew Johns inspired the Blues to a famous 22-point win. Queensland have won each of their last eight clashes at this ground, and with some experienced performers returning, expect the home side to secure a dominant win at the safe $1.82 price with top online bookmakers.

Valentine Holmes has had an underwhelming season for both the Cowboys and the Maroons. However, he’s had brilliant success at Suncorp Stadium for Queensland, recording the first try in each of his last four appearances here. Shifting from the centres to the wing, this is the perfect occasion for Holmes to return to form with a try ($2.15).

Angus Crichton’s form for the Roosters at NRL level has deserved not only a call-up to the Blues side, but more success in the Origin arena with ball in hand than we’ve seen so far. The back-rower made an enormous improvement in game two, recording a whopping nine tackle breaks and running for 174 metres. Against a slower, older opponent in Capewell, Crichton is a great value play as an anytime tryscorer ($4.10).


Top bookmakers for State of Origin odds

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