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New Zealand Warriors odds
The New Zealand Warriors were one of the most disappointing sides of last NRL season, finishing 13th on the ladder, a far cry from their inspiring preliminary finals appearance a year earlier.
With the departures of Shaun Johnson, Tohu Harris, Addin Fonua-Blake, Marcelo Montoya and Jazz Tevaga, the Warriors will have a drastically changed lineup in 2025, but with Andrew Webster at the helm, they will be hoping to return to finals action.
Prop James Fisher-Harris is a big-name recruit making the move across from the Panthers, while utility Erin Clark provides depth in the forward pack
Let’s take a look at the Warriors’ odds for the 2025 NRL season with the top online bookmakers.
About the New Zealand Warriors
| Established: | 1995 |
|---|---|
| Home ground: | Mt Smart Stadium |
| Coach: | Andrew Webster |
| Captain: | Mitchell Barnett and James Fisher-Harris |
| Premierships: | None |
| 2024 ladder finish: | 13th (9-1-14) |
Best bookies for NZ Warriors betting
The following NRL betting sites feature the best NZ Warriors odds:
NZ Warriors premiership odds
| 2025 Premiership | Top 8 Betting | NRL Top Pointscorer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds @ BetOnline | $26 | $2.10 | Luke Metcalf $26 |
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Best NZ Warriors bets for NRL 2025
There are dozens of NRL futures markets for the Warriors, but where are they likely to return some real value?
Click on the tabs below to get more analysis on these markets:
- At $41 to win the premiership with NRL betting sites, expectations are low for the Warriors heading into 2025. Injuries decimated the side last season, but as a result, they were able to blood the future, which is something that should help the side moving forward. They don’t quite have the quality to match the likes of Melbourne and Penrith, but the Warriors should improve on their poor 2024.
- Despite making the finals just twice in the last 13 years, the Warriors are a solid value pick to make the top eight this season at $2.50 with Australian betting apps. Replacing Johnson in the halves will be a tough ask, but Te Maire Martin has the quality to lead this side. Meanwhile, James Fisher-Harris will bring a wealth of experience and knowledge of success from his time at the Panthers. Andrew Webster will need to improve his sides’ defensive woes, but if they can stay healthy, there is no reason why the Warriors can’t return to the finals.
- Looking at the New Zealand lineup, it is hard to look past winger Dallin Watene-Zelezniak to lead the try scoring in 2025. The 29-year-old has led the Warriors in each of the past three seasons, including a notable 2023, where he came third in the NRL for tries scored. His mix of size, speed and finishing skills makes him an imposing proposition for opposition sides, and while he might offer limited betting value to lead the Warriors, he is a strong candidate to lead the NRL.
2025 New Zealand Warriors NRL draw
| Round | Opponent | Venue | Date | Time (NZ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canberra Raiders | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas | Sunday, March 2 | 12:00pm |
| 2 | Manly Sea Eagles | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Friday, March 14 | 7:00pm |
| 3 | Sydney Roosters | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Friday, March 21 | 7:00pm |
| 4 | Wests Tigers | Campbelltown Sports Stadium, Sydney | Sunday, March 30 | 7:15pm |
| 5 | Bye | – | – | – |
| 6 | Melbourne Storm | AAMI Park, Melbourne | Sunday, April 13 | 4:00pm |
| 7 | Brisbane Broncos | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Saturday, April 19 | 7:30pm |
| 8 | Newcastle Knights | Apollo Projects Stadium, Christchurch | Friday, April 25 | 8:00pm |
| 9 | North Queensland Cowboys | Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane | Saturday, May 3 | 7:30pm |
| 10 | St George Illawarra Dragons | WIN Stadium, Wollongong | Saturday, May 10 | 7:30pm |
| 11 | Dolphins | Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane | Saturday, May 17 | 5:00pm |
| 12 | Canberra Raiders | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Sunday, May 25 | 6:05pm |
| 13 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | Accor Stadium, Sydney | Sunday, June 1 | 4:00pm |
| 14 | Cronulla Sharks | Sharks Stadium, Sydney | Saturday, June 7 | 7:30pm |
| 15 | Bye | – | – | – |
| 16 | Penrith Panthers | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Saturday, June 21 | 5:00pm |
| 17 | Brisbane Broncos | Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane | Saturday, June 28 | 5:00pm |
| 18 | Bye | – | – | – |
| 19 | Wests Tigers | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Sunday, July 13 | 4:00pm |
| 20 | Newcastle Knights | McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle | Sunday, July 20 | 6:05pm |
| 21 | Gold Coast Titans | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Saturday, July 26 | 5:00pm |
| 22 | Dolphins | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Friday, August 1 | 8:00pm |
| 23 | Canterbury Bulldogs | Accor Stadium, Sydney | Saturday, August 9 | 9:35pm |
| 24 | St George Illawarra Dragons | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Friday, August 15 | 8:00pm |
| 25 | Gold Coast Titans | Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast | Saturday, August 23 | 7:30pm |
| 26 | Parramatta Eels | Go Media Stadium, Auckland | Friday, August 29 | 8:00pm |
| 27 | Manly Sea Eagles | 4 Pines Park, Sydney | Friday, September 5 | 8:00pm |
NZ Warriors players to watch in 2025
Luke Metcalf
Born: 1/3/1999
Games: 196
Tries: 12
Position: Five-Eighth
After playing just seven games due to a broken leg in 2024, Luke Metcalf will be looking to string together some consistent high-level footy in 2025. Playing alongside new partner Te Maire Martin, the pressure is on Metcalf to continue improving his playmaking abilities. He thrives in a fast-paced game, with his speed and running threat playing a major role. We are yet to see a full season from Metcalf at NRL level, but expectations are high heading into this season.
Kurt Capewell
Born: 12/7/1993
Games: 157
Tries: 31
Position: Second Rower
A mainstay of the Queensland Origin side, Kurt Capewell is one of the best second rowers in the NRL. After making the shift across from the Broncos last season, Capewell will be hoping for a better return after an underwhelming 2024. He is an 80-minute player who is known for his tough carries and surprising quickness, but his experience is arguably his greatest asset. He has had success at both State of Origin and club level and knows what it takes to reach the next level.
Dylan Walker
Born: 27/9/1994
Games: 229
Tries: 69
Position: Lock
Dylan Walker is one of the most versatile players in the game, spending time at fullback, centre, five-eighth, halfback, prop, hooker, second row and lock across his career. Having spent the last few seasons as a utility player, Walker is set to start the season at lock due to the sudden retirement of Tohu Harris. The 30-year-old has been more than serviceable in every role he has played across his career but never excelled in any singular role. Walker has plenty of experience, but will he be able to put in a solid stint at lock for 80 minutes week-in, week-out?
NZ Warriors records and stats
- Most games: 301 – Simon Mannering
Most career points: 1223 – Shaun Johnson (2011-2020, 2022-2024)
Most career tries: 152 – Manu Vatuvei
Most points in a season: 242 – Ivan Cleary (2002)
Most tries in a season: 23 – Francis Meli (2003), David Fusitu’a (2018)
Most points in a match: 28 – Gene Ngamu (vs. Cowboys, 1996)
- Most consecutive wins: 11 (2002)
Most consecutive losses: 11 (2012-13, 2015-16)
Biggest winning margin: 66-0 (vs. Souths, 2006)
Biggest losing margin: 6-66 (vs. Titans, 2024)
Largest NRL attendance: 38,405 (vs. Eels, 2011)
While rugby league is the code of choice in Australia, it remains the scrawny little brother in union-mad New Zealand. Nevertheless, league football has enjoyed a healthy cult following in the Auckland area since the early 20th century.Serious talk of a New Zealand-based team joining the NSW Rugby League first arose during the expansion push of the 1980s. Years of campaigning bore fruit in 1995 when the Auckland Warriors were admitted to the newly formed Australian Rugby League. The club switched to the rival Super League for the 1997 season and then joined the reunified NRL in 1998.
Auckland’s early years were a struggle both on and off the field, so much so that the club was sold in 2000 and rebranded as the New Zealand Warriors. Turning their focus to unheralded local talent, the new-look Warriors marched to their first finals campaign in 2001 and were losing grand finalists in 2002 after claiming the minor premiership.
A return to hard times was not far away, however. The Warriors finished second from bottom in 2004, 11th in 2005, and 10th in 2006 when they had premiership points deducted due to salary cap breaches the previous season. Ivan Cleary took over in 2006 and steered New Zealand to three finals series in five years, but the club has struggled to impact the upper half of the table since the 2011 NRL Grand Final defeat to Manly.
In recent years, the Warriors have shown signs of resurgence, particularly with their top-four finish in 2023. However, the 2024 season proved disappointing as they finished 13th on the ladder with nine wins, one draw, and 14 losses. This result prompted significant roster changes as the club looked to strengthen for 2025.
The Warriors have been active in recruitment ahead of the new season, signing halfback Tanah Boyd from the Gold Coast Titans, powerhouse prop James Fisher-Harris from the Penrith Panthers, and versatile forward Sam Healey from the Cronulla Sharks. These additions aim to bolster the squad following the departure of key players, including star forward Addin Fonua-Blake to Cronulla and club legend Shaun Johnson, who retired at the end of the 2024 season.
A major setback hit the club in January 2025 when captain Tohu Harris announced his immediate retirement due to a persistent wrist injury. Harris, who played 117 games for both the Melbourne Storm and the Warriors, was widely respected for his leadership and work ethic. The club has yet to announce his successor as captain.
Under the guidance of coach Andrew Webster, the Warriors are gearing up for a fresh start in 2025. The team is set to make its first-ever appearance at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas as part of the NRL’s expansion efforts into the United States.
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