NRL Round 11 betting preview, free tips & predictions

The 2025 NRL season heats up in Round 11, with pivotal clashes that could reshape the ladder. With four points between third place and 15th, all teams are looking to secure crucial wins heading into the State of Origin rounds.

Here’s your full NRL betting preview, offering insights and best bets for each game.

Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels

Friday, 16 May – 6pm AEST – McDonald Jones Stadium

The Knights are desperate to get some momentum going and will rely heavily on Kalyn Ponga’s playmaking abilities. The Eels, buoyed by Zac Lomax’s return, will aim to capitalise on Newcastle’s defensive lapses. Expect a high-intensity battle in the midfield. Parramatta’s structured attack might just prove the difference.

Canterbury Bulldogs vs Sydney Roosters

Friday, 16 May – 8pm AEST – Accor Stadium

While the Bulldogs are top of the NRL ladder, six of their eight wins have come against teams in the bottom seven. The Roosters, meanwhile, are humming along with three wins from their last four outings. Despite Canterbury’s home advantage, the experienced Tricolours can spring an upset here.

Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors

Saturday, 17 May – 3pm AEST – Suncorp Stadium

The Dolphins, still finding their footing in the NRL, face a Warriors side known for their unpredictability. New Zealand’s recent form — they now sit second on the ladder — suggests they can capitalise on the Dolphins’ deficiencies. Playing at Suncorp offers the Dolphins some solace, but the Warriors‘ dynamic playstyle might prove too challenging.

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North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly Sea Eagles

Saturday, 17 May – 5:30pm AEST – Queensland Country Bank Stadium

The Cowboys, aiming to solidify their top-eight position, host a Sea Eagles team battling inconsistency. North Queensland’s home record provides them with a psychological edge. Manly’s attack, when firing, can trouble any defence, but the Cowboys’ cohesion might be the deciding factor.

Cronulla Sharks vs Melbourne Storm

Saturday, 17 May – 7:35pm AEST – Sharks Stadium

The Sharks, known for their resilience at home, face a Storm side eager to reclaim their dominance. Melbourne’s structured gameplay could unsettle Cronulla’s defensive patterns. The battle in the forwards will be crucial. Expect a tight contest with the Storm possibly edging ahead late.

Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons

Sunday, 18 May – 2pm AEST – Suncorp Stadium

The Broncos, rejuvenated by Ezra Mam’s return, are poised to challenge the Dragons’ defence. St George Illawarra‘s recent performances have been lacklustre, raising concerns about their ability to contain Brisbane’s attack. A comprehensive win at home for Brisbane seems likely.

Canberra Raiders vs Gold Coast Titans

Sunday, 18 May – 4:05pm AEST – GIO Stadium

The Raiders, formidable at home, will aim to exploit the Titans‘ defensive vulnerabilities. Gold Coast’s attack can be potent, but it often lacks consistency. Canberra’s forwards are expected to dominate the middle as the home side secures a comfortable victory.

Wests Tigers vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Sunday, 18 May – 6:15pm AEST – Campbelltown Sports Stadium

The Tigers, despite showing glimpses of promise, face a daunting task against a Rabbitohs side in form. South Sydney’s attacking prowess, led by their dynamic halves and fullback, could overwhelm the Tigers’ defence. Playing at Campbelltown offers the Tigers some hope, but the Rabbitohs should win with ease.

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