Geelong vs Collingwood best bets & multi tips – AFL Finals 2022

Can the Collingwood fairytale continue when they tackle the flag favourites, Geelong, this Saturday in week one of the 2022 AFL finals?

Geelong enter the finals series in tip-top form and right now punters believe the Cats are the team most likely to hoist the premiership trophy. Geelong have won 13 games on the trot and tuned up for the finals with a solid 85-point win over West Coast in round 23. Confidence within the Geelong ranks will be sky high and their roster appears to contain the perfect mix of youth and experience to go all the way.

The Cats rank first in the competition for inside 50s and third for goals kicked, averaging just over 14 goals per game. The beauty of the Geelong forward line of Jeremy Cameron and Tom Hawkins is the number of opportunities they create for each other and the smaller forwards. If one of the talls is unable to mark cleanly, they routinely set the ball up for one of the smaller guys to swoop on.

Collingwood produced yet another miracle in round 23, breaking the hearts of Carlton fans with a comeback win for the ages. We should not be surprised with this type of performance given the Magpies’ ability to defy the odds, in this case a 24-point deficit midway through the fourth quarter.

A close inspection of Collingwood’s stats reveals an unremarkable set of numbers. They do rank third in the AFL for tackles, but are 12th for disposals, ninth for inside 50s, 14th for clearances, and seventh for hitouts. This matters little because they are ranked a clear first in the miracle department, and the Collingwood army will be praying feverishly to their deities during the month of September.

Key matchup: Cameron Guthrie vs Jack Crisp

Despite looking like a chilled surfer dude, Geelong midfielder Cameron Guthrie knows how play big-game football. Guthrie has had a solid year, averaging 25.1 disposals, 5.0 tackles, 4.5 clearances, and 95.9 AFL Fantasy points. These numbers are well up on his career average and the 30-year-old might just be entering his prime. Look for Guthrie to win plenty of the ball here.

Collingwood midfielder Jack Crisp has notched similar numbers to Guthrie this season, averaging 23.6 disposals, 5.5 tackles, 3.8 clearances, and 94.3 AFL Fantasy points. These numbers are also higher than his career average, and Crisp has enjoyed the assistance of players such as the Diacos brothers running alongside him. Crisp will need to bring his best form to this contest as he battles not only Guthrie, but one of the stronger midfield groups in the league.

Geelong vs Collingwood QF betting strategy

Geelong go in as the shortest of the weekend’s favourites, with the line set at 17.5 points. We have been quietly waiting for Collingwood to get exposed in recent months, and this might be the day it all unravels. Geelong might just come out of the gates like a scolded cat, pushing the game beyond last-quarter miracles. Based on this logic, there appears to be some value in first-half markets, so we are backing Geelong at the half-time line of 8.5 points. This will allow us to collect early and sit back to enjoy the remainder of the game stress free.

Geelong vs Collingwood same game multi tips

For those looking to add some zeros to their bankroll, we will be combining our main tip with Gary Rohan anytime goalscorer and Cameron Guthrie 25+ disposals. This triple-header will return $3.94 courtesy of Marantelli Bet.

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