Collingwood vs North Melbourne AFL tips & value bets – 9/7/2022

Can Collingwood scoop some easy premiership points when they tackle North Melbourne at the MCG this Saturday in round 17 of the 2022 AFL season?

As the season tapers toward its pointy end, luck can play a huge role in determining close outcomes. Collingwood were very lucky to emerge from a wet track on the Gold Coast with the spoils after a hard-fought contest that could have easily gone the other way. That said, winning form is good form, and the Magpies have now strung together a few victories.

The round 16 win showed the Pies are willing to play dirty, scrappy football when it’s required. There was nothing pleasant about the spectacle, but the young Magpies fought hard in tricky conditions and bolstered their finals aspirations with the narrow victory. Against the lowly Kangaroos, Collingwood will be looking to post a percentage-improving margin.

There’s not much to celebrate for Kangaroo fans. The team has struggled all season without showing any real improvement. With West Coast showing some promising signs, the Roos are now a lock to collect the dreaded wooden spoon.

The Kangaroos were surprisingly competitive against the high-flying Cats for the first quarter in round 16, but it got ugly after that. The Roos kicked one goal in the second quarter, one goal in the third, and one behind in the fourth while the Cats relentlessly piled on the points. The vagaries of the salary cap mean that, in theory, the Kangaroos pay their playing group roughly the same amount as the Cats do. Where is that money going, exactly?

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Key matchup: Nick Daicos vs Luke Davies-Uniacke

Collingwood youngster Nick Daicos has been installed as the short-priced Rising Star favourite for 2022. The gifted 19-year-old plays with maturity well beyond his years and led the Magpie charge against the Suns, grabbing 37 disposals, two tackles, and three clearances in his side’s five-point victory. Daicos reads the flow of AFL footy better than any 19-year-old we have ever seen and looks destined for greater things.

North Melbourne midfielder Luke Davies-Uniacke has shown real promise this season in a battling team. The 23-year-old grabbed 36 disposals against the Cats and has been averaging 4.1 tackles and 4.3 clearances per game for the year. After his early career was interrupted by injury, Davies-Uniacke is now developing into a reliable ball-winner and just needs his team to recruit some additional talent to run alongside.

Collingwood vs North Melbourne betting strategy

It can be hard to excited about betting in games where the favourite is returning $1.02 with online bookies. The line has, however, been set at an attainable 56.5 points, and we are obliged to take it. Collingwood are running hot with plenty to play for, and the Kangaroos are running cold and eyeing post-season holiday destinations. Collingwood -56.5 is the tip, and let’s hope the young Pies are feeling ruthless.

Collingwood vs North Melbourne same-game multi

For the value-hunters, we suggest linking Collingwood -56.5, into Jack Ginnivan 2+ goals, into Josh Daicos anytime goalkicker, into Patrick Lipinski 20+ disposals. This ambitious four-legged combo will return a tasty $5.38 courtesy of Ladbrokes.

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