Western Bulldogs v Sydney Swans AFL tips | Round 11, 2024

Bulldogs v Swans AFL best bets

Western Bulldogs v Sydney Swans R11 preview

The Sydney Swans will be looking to extend their lead atop the AFL ladder on Thursday night when they face the Western Bulldogs to kick off round 11.

On the road, the Swans enter as $1.58 favourites with Unibet, while the Bulldogs are at $2.40 with BoomBet. The handicap is set at 8.5 points, which some might consider skinny for a runaway leader taking on a team sitting outside the top eight.

Last Saturday, the Bulldogs secured one of their best wins of the season as they upset the Giants by 27 points on the road. After going goalless in the first quarter, the Dogs then took over the game, with their inaccuracy ultimately flattering the home side. Midfielder Adam Treloar continued his hot start to the season with 35 disposals, while the Bulldogs defence kept the Giants to just six goals.

With two wins in a row, the Western Bulldogs have worked their way up to 11th on the ladder. They also hold the second-highest percentage in the AFL, but as such, they have gained a reputation of being flat-track bullies.

Don’t expect many changes for the Dogs this week after they got through last week unscathed in a strong performance.

Last Friday, the Swans continued their stellar start to the season as they beat Carlton by 52 points at the SCG. After conceding the first four goals of the game, Sydney flipped the switch, allowing just four goals after quarter time. The midfield pair of Chad Warner and Isaac Heeney starred for the Swans, with 52 disposals and six goals between them.

After an excellent start to the season, Sydney are clear premiership favourites at $3.75 with top AFL bookmakers. They sit six points clear at the top, holding a 7-0 record against other top-10 sides.

Swans utility Robbie Fox looks set to miss this week after injuring his shoulder against the Blues, which would suggest that Matt Roberts will return to the side after being managed. Meanwhile, key defender Tom McCartin is a chance to return from concussion protocol, likely in place of Aaron Francis.

Western Bulldogs v Sydney Swans predictions

At their best, the Dogs can match it with any side in the AFL, but given their inconsistency, expect the Swans to be far too strong. Besides their one loss to the Tigers in round three, John Longmire’s men have shown few weaknesses, winning by an average margin of 47.3 points in their six matches since. Back the visitors to cover the handicap of -8.5 at $1.90 with AFL betting sites.

Sitting at the top of the Brownlow Medal betting markets, Sydney star Isaac Heeney has been exceptional to start the season. A role change into the midfield has drastically increased his involvement in games, while he impacts the scoreboard when he rests forward. Heeney averages 1.6 goals per game in 2024 and kicked three last round, so back him to continue his excellent start with two or more goals at $2.20.

Bulldogs skipper Marcus Bontempelli is reaching new heights in 2024, with career-high numbers in front of goal. Averaging 1.4 goals per game this season, he has kicked multiple goals on five occasions. Last year against the Swans, he had 31 disposals and two goals, so expect him to trouble the Sydney defence once again with two or more goals at $2.45 with top AFL bookies.

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