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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady preview & free betting tips

UFC Fight Night tips

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady Main Card Odds & Info
Main Event odds Burns +160 at Marantelli Bet | Brady -185.19 at Marantelli Bet
When Sunday, September 8 – main card from 7pm EDT
Where UFC APEX – Las Vegas, United States
Watch Live Foxtel, Kayo, UFC Fight Pass

The main card of UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady at the Apex in Las Vegas this Saturday night features a top-10 women’s flyweight bout between Brazilian rivals Jessica Andrade and Natalia Silva. Other highlights include a fiery matchup between Steve Garcia and Kyle Nelson and a clash between promising lightweights Trevor Peek and Yanal Ashmouz. Read on for BP’s analysis, predictions and top betting picks.


Gilbert Burns v Sean Brady

Gilbert Burns UFC

Gilbert Burns

vs

Sean Brady

Sean Brady

22-7-0 MMA record 16-1-0
38 Age 31
5’10” Height 5’10”
171lbs Weight 170lbs
71″ Reach 72″
Brazil Nationality USA

Who will triumph when Gilbert Burns takes on Sean Brady in the main event? See our in-depth Burns vs Brady fight preview here.


Jessica Andrade v Natalia Silva

Jessica Andrade

Jessica Andrade

vs

Natalia Silva

Natalia Silva

+240 at Marantelli Bet UFC betting odds -312.5 at Marantelli Bet
26-12-0 MMA record 17-5-1
32 Age 27
5’1″ Height 5’4″
125lbs Weight 125lbs
62″ Reach 65″
Brazil Nationality Brazil

Jessica Andrade (26-12-0) has notched two wins in 2024 after suffering three straight losses in a dire 2023. On her worst days, the 32-year-old can rely too heavily on raw striking power, which can leave her open to counters and submissions threats. On her best days, the Brazilian marches forward and looks dangerous in the pocket where her heavy hands can land and cause damage.

Natalia Silva (17-5-1) is undefeated in the UFC after five fights. The 27-year-old enjoys a height and reach advantage in this matchup and will attempt to win the range war with long and looping strikes from the outside. The younger Brazilian is also adept on the mat, with seven professional wins via submission, and leading UFC bookies have her slated as a warm favourite.

Natalia Silva by decision

+110
@
Marantelli Bet

Steve Garcia v Kyle Nelson

Steve Garcia

Steve Garcia

vs

Kyle Nelson

Kyle Nelson

-188.68 at Marantelli Bet UFC betting odds +150 at Marantelli Bet
16-5-0 MMA record 15-5-1
32 Age 33
6’0″ Height 5’11”
145lbs Weight 145lbs
75″ Reach 71″
USA Nationality Canada

Steve Garcia (16-5-0) is a surging knockout artist with four straight KO wins on his record. The exciting featherweight fights long and tall for the division and should be able to land first in this contest. The 32-year-old is hunting a top-15 ranking, and another stoppage win should boost his profile and bring that goal within reach.

Kyle Nelson (15-5-1) rides a three-fight win streak into this Fight of the Night contender. The Canadian made short work of Bill Algeo in his most recent appearance and should be full of confidence. He would be wise to avoid a standup war but has other paths to victory, including via submission and volume striking that earns the favour of the judges.

Steve Garcia by KO/TKO

-125
@
Marantelli Bet

Matt Schnell v Cody Durden

Matt Schnell

Matt Schnell

vs

Cody Durden

Cody Durden

Best odds at Marantelli Bet UFC betting odds Best odds at Marantelli Bet
16-8-0 MMA record 16-6-1
34 Age 33
5’8″ Height 5’7″
125lbs Weight 125lbs
72.5″ Reach 69.5″
USA Nationality USA

Matt Schnell (16-8-0) has been knocked out in his last two bouts, losing to recent title contender Steve Erceg and Matheus Nicolau. The 34-year-old is most comfortable on the mat and can look a little lost during standup exchanges. He boasts nine professional submission victories and will be hunting takedowns from the opening bell.

Cody Durden (16-6-1) is also coming off successive stoppage losses that halted some nice momentum. The 33-year-old has proved susceptible to high-level grappling throughout his career, and that weakness may be exposed in a challenging matchup. Durden is a tough and durable combatant on the feet, and his hard strikes appear his most likely path to victory.

Cory Durden by KO/TKO

Best odds
@
Marantelli Bet

Trevor Peek v Yanal Ashmouz

Trevor Peek

Trevor Peek

vs

Yanal Ashmouz

Yanal Ashmouz

-128.21 at Marantelli Bet UFC betting odds +105 at Marantelli Bet
9-2-0 MMA record 7-1-0
29 Age 29
5’9″ Height 5’9″
155lbs Weight 155lbs
70″ Reach 69″
USA Nationality Israel

Trevor Peek (9-2-0) has fared poorly with the judges recently, dropping two of his last three bouts via decision. This broke an impressive run of eight successive knockout wins, and the 29-year-old should be fired up for this contest. This is an opportunity for Peek to reclaim his destiny with a positive and aggressive performance that ends before the judging panel can get involved.

Yanal Ashmouz (7-1-0) suffered his first professional loss in July 2023, also delivered by the scorecards. The 29-year-old showed promise in his UFC debut four months earlier and will be determined to bounce back with an improved showing after a lengthy break to refocus. The Israeli will start as a slight underdog with top UFC betting sites but looks like a solid chance.

Yanal Ashmouz to win

+104
@
Marantelli Bet

Zhu Rong v Chris Padilla

Zhu Rong

Zhu Rong

vs

Chris Padilla

Chris Padilla

-250 at Marantelli Bet UFC betting odds +200 at Marantelli Bet
24-5-0 MMA record 14-6-0
24 Age 28
5’9″ Height 5’9″
155lbs Weight 155lbs
71″ Reach 74″
China Nationality USA

Zhu Rong (24-5-0) earned a second chance at UFC success in 2022, earning a recall after an impressive win on the regional circuit. The Chinese fighter has since strung three straight wins together and continues to add layers to his MMA game. The lightweight throws heavy hands and has the power to earn an early win.

Chris Padilla (14-6-0) has fought once at UFC level, scoring a submission win in the opening round over James Llondop. The 28-year-old mixes solid striking with a tough grappling game and will enjoy a big reach advantage in this even contest. He enters as the betting outsider due to a lack of high-level experience but might show glimpses of potential.

Zhu Rong by KO/TKO

+190
@
Marantelli Bet

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