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UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic main card tips & best odds | 17/11/24

UFC 309 betting tips - Sunday, November 17

UFC 309: Jones vs MiocicMain Card Preview & Fight Info
Main Event odds Jones -666.67 at Marantelli Bet | Miocic +500 at Marantelli Bet
When Sunday, November 17 – main card from 2pm AEDT
Where Madison Square Garden – New York, United States
Watch Live Pay Per View

Veteran lightweights Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler fill the co-main event slot for UFC 309 at Madison Square Garden this Sunday (AEDT). The main card contains a series of short-priced favourites, meaning punters may have to focus on the likely methods of victory to squeeze value from this pay-per-view event. Read on for BettingPlanet’s fight previews and top picks.


Jon Jones vs Stipe Miocic

Jon Jones

Jon Jones

vs

Stipe Miocic

Stipe Miocic

27-1-0 MMA record 20-4-0
37 Age 42
6’4” Height 6’5”
248lbs Weight 248lbs
84.5” Reach 80”
USA Nationality USA

The UFC 309 main event is one for the ages. Jon Jones returns at long last to defend his heavyweight title against Stipe Miocic, a two-time former champion looking to wind back the clock. See our Jones vs Miocic betting preview here.


Charles Oliveira vs Michael Chandler

Charles Oliveira

Charles Oliveira

vs

Michael Chandler

Michael Chandler

-250 at Marantelli Bet UFC betting odds +200 at Marantelli Bet
34-10-0 MMA record 23-8-0
35 Age 38
5’10” Height 5’8”
155lbs Weight 155lbs
74” Reach 71.5”
Brazil Nationality USA

Charles Oliveira (34-10-0) remains one of the best BJJ practitioners in the UFC. The Brazilian has an astounding 21 submission wins on his professional record and should enjoy a solid grappling advantage in this matchup. However, Oliveira’s chin has looked a little susceptible in recent times, which is a concern in the latter stages of his career.

Michael Chandler (23-8-0) has endured a murderous row of opponents since signing with the UFC in 2021. His only wins have come against Dan Hooker and Tony Ferguson, with the former Bellator champion losing to Oliveira, Justin Gaethje, and Dustin Poirier. The 38-year-old appears to have put together one of his best training camps in preparation for this contest, and he might be a little mispriced with leading UFC betting sites.

Michael Chandler to win

+200
@
Marantelli Bet

Bo Nickal vs Paul Craig

Bo Nickal

Bo Nickal

vs

Paul Craig

Paul Craig

-1250 at Marantelli Bet UFC betting odds +700 at Marantelli Bet
6-0-0 MMA record 17-8-1
28 Age 36
6’1” Height 6’3”
185lbs Weight 185lbs
76” Reach 76”
USA Nationality UK

Bo Nickal (6-0-0) has swept all before him since making his UFC debut in 2023, posting three straight stoppage wins. The former wrestling champion faces a rise in class in New York but appears to be an exciting talent with unlimited upside at this point. The 28-year-old may well call out a top-10 opponent if his winning run continues.

Paul Craig (17-8-1) has struggled for consistency since 2022, with two wins and four losses to show for his efforts. The 36-year-old holds a black belt in BJJ and boasts 13 submissions on his record, but he might be outmatched in all departments against a young and ruthless athlete. Craig will have a point to prove, but this looks like a tough ask.

Bo Nickal by KO/TKO

-125
@
Marantelli Bet

Viviane Araujo vs Karine Silva

Viviane Araujo

Viviane Araujo

vs

Karine Silva

Karine Silva

+225 at Marantelli Bet UFC betting odds -277.78 at Marantelli Bet
12-6-0 MMA record 18-4-0
37 Age 30
5’4” Height 5’5”
125lbs Weight 125lbs
68” Reach 67”
Brazil Nationality Brazil

Viviane Araujo (12-6-0) has struggled for form in the last two years, with one win and three losses to her name. Before this slide, the Brazilian was shaping as a top-five contender, but at 37 years of age, she might have lost her edge. Most of her wins have come via the scorecards, and she will likely be on the back foot against a more aggressive and tenacious opponent throughout this contest.

Karine Silva (18-4-0) rides a nine-fight win streak into this bout and is expected to soon contest for the women’s flyweight crown. The 30-year-old combines solid striking power with a range of submission attacks, and 17 of her 18 professional wins have come inside the distance. Silva is another short-priced favourite with top online bookmakers and should find another stoppage win at Madison Square Garden.

Karine Silva by KO/TKO

+800
@
Marantelli Bet

Mauricio Ruffy vs James Llontop

Mauricio Ruffy

Mauricio Ruffy

vs

James Llontop

James Llontop

-1000 at Marantelli Bet UFC betting odds +600 at Marantelli Bet
10-1-0 MMA record 14-4-0
28 Age 25
5’1” Height 6’0”
155lbs Weight 155lbs
75” Reach 73”
Brazil Nationality Peru

Mauricio Ruffy (10-1-0) brings a wave of hype into his second UFC fight after making an impressive entry in May. All 11 of the 28-year-old’s professional bouts have been decided via knockout, and he made short work of Jamie Mullarkey with an opening-round barrage on his UFC debut. This appears another favourable matchup for the Brazilian as his momentum grows.

James Llontop (14-4-0) is another UFC newcomer, with two fights in the premier MMA promotion. The 25-year-old was choked out on debut in a nervous display before looking more assured in a split-decision loss to Viacheslav Borshchev in his second outing. The Peruvian’s early career contains some wild knockouts, but he would be unwise to bring an overly attacking strategy to this dangerous matchup.

Mauricio Ruffy by KO/TKO

-142.86
@
Marantelli Bet

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