Sydney vs Carlton AFL Round 11 betting tips – Sunday, May 30

Will the Sydney Swans and Carlton produce another thriller when they meet at the SCG this Sunday in round 11 of the 2021 AFL season?

The 2020 clash between these two sides went down to the wire, with the Blues pinching the win after young wingman Matthew Cottrell put them in front late in the last quarter.

Lewis Melican is racing the clock this week in order to prove his fitness for this match, potentially coming in and boosting the Swans’ defensive stocks.

Talented forward Jack Martin could make a return for the Blues pending medical tests during the week, while Lachie Plowman will not partake in this contest after copping a two-week suspension for a high bump.

Sydney Swans vs Carlton match preview

After blooding their youngsters early in the season, the Swans have fallen back on their more experienced personnel in recent weeks. The Blues have been very competitive recently after also bringing in more seasoned players, winning two of their last five matches with respectable losses to the Western Bulldogs, Melbourne and Brisbane.

Jack Silvagni is one of the returning Blues who will have an impact in this contest, as the father-son recruit has kicked four goals in four previous encounters with Sydney. You can find Silvagni at $2.30 with Sportsbet.com.au to kick at least one major this Sunday.

SydneySwans

• Jordan Dawson
• Tom McCartin
• Jake Lloyd
• George Hewett
• Dane Rampe
• Harry Cunningham
• Justin McInerney
• Oliver Florent
• Dylan Stephens
• Sam Wicks
• Isaac Heeney
• Tom Papley
• Will Hayward
• Lance Franklin
• Hayden McLean
• Callum Sinclair
• Luke Parker
• Josh Kennedy
• Kaiden Brand
• Chad Warner
• James Rowbottom
• Callum Mills
• Colin O’Riordan (Emg)
• Joel Amartey (Emg)
• James Bell (Emg)
• Lewis Taylor (Emg)
• Coach: John Longmire

CarltonBlues

• Tom De Koning
• Harry McKay
• Eddie Betts
• Matthew Owies
• Levi Casboult
• Jack Silvagni
• Will Setterfield
• Patrick Cripps
• Matthew Cottrell
• Adam Saad
• Jacob Weitering
• Zac Williams
• Sam Docherty
• Liam Jones
• Nic Newman
• Marc Pittonet
• Sam Walsh
• Ed Curnow
• Michael Gibbons
• Jack Martin
• Lachie Fogarty
• Liam Stockrt
• Marc Murphy (Emg)
• Luke Parks (Emg)
• Jack Newnes (Emg)
• Josh Honey (Emg)
• Coach: David Teague

Key matchup: Callum Mills vs Sam Walsh

More midfield time has allowed Callum Mills to put up career-best numbers this season. John Longmire pushed the former defender into the guts in round one and he has thrived ever since, averaging over 26 disposals per game in 2021.

Meanwhile, Sam Walsh has emerged as the main man in a Carlton midfield that includes the likes of Pat Cripps and Zac Williams. The third-year player is averaging 30 touches per game this season, but it’s the 4.8 tackles, 5.4 clearances and 4.8 inside 50s that show just how well he is going.

Walsh and Mills should meet regularly around the stoppages, and we expect both young stars to top the disposal tallies for their respective sides.

Sydney Swans vs Carlton betting predictions

Carlton +15.5

David Teague has coached the Blues to a pair of consecutive victories over the Swans, both outside of Melbourne. Given Carlton’s recent form against the best teams in the AFL, we think it can push Sydney until the final siren. The Swans are rightly favourites, but the Blues will make them earn it.

Callum Mills to get 30+ disposals

Callum Mills has collected 30 or more disposals in three matches across his 102-game career, but they have all come this season since he moved into the middle. Luke Parker and Josh Kennedy should attract the most opposition attention, allowing Mills more freedom at each contest.

Same game multi: 3 legs @ $12

Jack Silvagni will hit the scoreboard at the SCG as the Blues cover the line, while Callum Mills will be hard to stop in the guts. Put it all together in a three-leg multi for a $12 return at Sportsbet.