Sydney v Collingwood tips & best bets — AFL Rd 22 Preview

Can the miracle working Collingwood keep their winning streak alive when they travel to the SCG and tackle the surging Swans in AFL round 22 action on Sunday?

The Sydney caravan rolled quietly forward in round 21 with a solid win over the Kangaroos. The Swans now sit fourth on the ladder courtesy of a superior percentage to the Lions and look set to play a big role in September action.

Sydney has flown under the radar, but have been quietly amassing a late season run that includes solid wins over the Dockers, Bulldogs, Crows and Giants.

The Swans are a hard match-up for any side based their ability to share the workload with multiple ball winners and potential goal kickers. Lance Franklin was the key spearhead versus the Kangaroos with four big ones, but Chad Warner is emerging as a reliable backup alongside Sam Reid and Tom Papley.

The Collingwood naysayers were silenced again in round 21 when the Pies managed to produce another remarkable come-from-behind victory, this time over the reigning premiers. The winning streak now stands at 11, and Collingwood have now grabbed outright second position on the ladder.

The incredible run has been driven by some standout performances by a squad of unseasoned youngsters, including the Daicos boys, Patrick Lipinski and Jack Ginnivan.

Despite their hot form, Collingwood is still listed at decent odds to secure the premiership silverware. After finishing 17th in 2021, this would be a true Cinderella story. Though it might still seem slightly improbable, a win over the Swans in Sydney will further strengthen their claim and see their odds slashed.

Swans v Magpies key match-up

Sydney mid-forward Chad Warner has come of age in 2022, and played a huge game against the Kangaroos, grabbing 20 disposals, six clearances, and booting three goals. The 22-year-old plays with an intensity that few opponents can match, and his goal kicking ability sets him apart from many of his peers. Warner has averaged some solid numbers this season including 23.1 disposals, 4.1 tackles, 4.0 clearances, and has returned 16 goals from 19 appearances. While he is still learning his craft, Warner is a talent to watch, and looks set for a big impact in September as his confidence grows.

Collingwood all round dynamo Nick Daicos continues to pile on the elite numbers, grabbing 31 disposals, five marks, and four clearances against the Demons. Diacos is having a standout rookie year, and his efforts in the coming games may prove him to be one the most talented 19-year-olds to ever play senior footy.

Swans v Magpies Betting Strategy & tips

With the benefit of home ground advantage, the Swans are warm favourites here, with the line set at 20.5 points in what is expected to be a free scoring affair. Having tipped and bet against the Pies in their last two victories, we are in something of a bind. Do we switch now, or stay with our original assessment – the Pies are overachieving and getting fortunate at crucial moments? A competitive loss would not overly dent Collingwood enthusiasm, so this game is close to a freeroll for the Pies. After carefully weighing the best wagering option, we are tipping either team to win by 19 points or less, paying $2.40 at PalmerBet. Click on Margin Markets, then Tri Bet 19.5. A blow-out either way seems unlikely and we would hate to be sweating a Collingwood loss in another tight fourth quarter.

Sydney vs Collingwood Same Game Multi tip

For those looking to squeeze extra value from this contest, we are linking our main tip into some likely exotics. So, any team by 19 points or less, into Jordan De Goey 20+ disposals, into Chad Warner anytime goal scorer, paying $5.25 courtesy of PalmerBet.

More sports betting tips

1 Comment

Oldest

Newest Most Voted

Inline Feedbacks

View all comments

gordon

2 years ago

great read

0