GWS v Brisbane AFL tips, odds & predictions | Round 7, 2024
| GWS Giants vs Brisbane Lions AFL Betting Odds & Game Info | |
|---|---|
| Best odds | GWS -125 at Unibet | Brisbane -111.11 at Neds |
| When | Thursday, April 25 | 7:35pm AEST |
| Where | Manuka Oval, Canberra |
| Last time they met | GWS 13.9.87 – Brisbane 16.12.108 (R6, 2023) |
| Watch live | Seven, Fox Sports, Kayo |
GWS Giants v Brisbane Lions best bets
GWS -1.5
Under 171.5 total points
Harvey Thomas anytime goalkicker
GWS v Brisbane match preview
The GWS Giants will be looking to bounce back from their first defeat of the 2024 AFL season when they host the struggling Brisbane Lions at Manuka Oval on ANZAC Day.
GWS went into their round six contest against the Blues as slight favourites but left Marvel Stadium empty-handed after leading at halftime. The Giants were safely held in the hitout and clearance stats, lost the inside 50 count, and were inefficient with their ball-use under the Carlton pressure. Despite the loss, the Giants remain at the head of premiership betting with most online bookmakers in a congested market.
The Giants had a mixed night at the tribunal with Toby Greene losing his appeal against a one-match ban for rough conduct and Jesse Hogan successfully appealing his ban for striking. Brent Daniels will face a fitness test for general soreness suffered in the loss to the Blues. Key midfielder Stephen Coniglio will miss at least another week with his knee injury.
The Brisbane Lions entered round six as warm favourites against Geelong but were found wanting in wet and slippery conditions. Brisbane registered a mere 37 points in a clumsy display, booting 4.13 from 51 inside 50s. Scores were level going into the fourth quarter, but the Lions could not match the intensity of their opponents to suffer a rare home defeat.
The Lions’ injury list continues to lengthen. Oscar McInerney will need to satisfy concussion protocols after a head knock and will likely be replaced in the ruck by Darcy Fort. Callum Ah Chee may feel some selection heat after a quiet run, while Conor McKenna and Jaxon Prior are available if coach Chris Fagan decides to shake up his backline.
Giants v Lions betting strategy
While the Giants do not hold a great winning record against the Lions, this a good opportunity for them. The loss of Greene will hurt their chances, but GWS have only really played one bad half of football all season. They are a high-disposal team, and Brisbane can unravel when deprived of the ball for long periods. GWS with the -1.5 handicap looks like a solid tip at $1.90 on Unibet.
This looks like a low-scoring contest given Brisbane’s recent goalkicking woes. Pressure on the ball-carrier should also be fierce in both directions, which may lead to turnovers and plenty of congestion. Under 171.5 total points is the tip, returning $1.88 with the top AFL betting sites.
Giants small forward Harvey Thomas had a quiet night against the Blues and will be keen to make amends this week. He can get drawn into the midfield when his ball-winning skills are required, but he is most dangerous when crumbing from big men such as Jesse Hogan inside 50. Thomas as an anytime goalkicker pays $2.65 on Neds.
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