French Open women’s final tips & best odds | Sabalenka v Gauff

The 2025 French Open women’s final pits world No.1 Aryna Sabalenka against second seed Coco Gauff in Paris this Saturday. Neither has won Roland-Garros before, and both will be eager to make the most of a rare dip in form by defending champion Iga Swiatek.

Who can capaitalise on Saturday? We give our Sabalenka v Gauff prediction and outline the best bets on offer at the top tennis bookmakers.

Best bet: Three sets

This is a matchup of power hitting taking on incredible defence. Sabalenka will be smacking the skin off the ball, while Gauff will be running everything down.

Statistically, there is little to separate these two. The head-to-head record stands at five each, with their last two meetings sitting at one apiece and their only two clay-court matches split as well. Both have had statement wins en route to the French Open final — Sabalenka knocking off Swiatek in the semi-finals, and Gauff overcoming Australian Open champion Madison Keys in the quarter-finals.

Half of their 10 meetings so far have gone the distance, and it’s hard to see any other outcome on Saturday. The pair are simply too close in level, and their gameplans are the perfect storm to create a prolonged encounter. For the best bet on Sabalenka v Gauff, take the odds of +120 for this to go three sets.

• 

  Fast Payouts

Next best: Gauff 10+ double faults

The key battleground in the women’s Roland-Garros final will be Gauff’s second serve. It is the weakest area of the American’s game and will be targeted by Sabalenka.

Case in point is Gauff’s quarter-final against Keys. In the opening set, Keys won 74% of Gauff’s second-serve points. This forced Gauff to go for more on the shot, leading to seven double faults in the first set alone.

Given Sabalenka’s power, Gauff’s history of spraying double faults under pressure, and the weight of the occasion, a bet on the American hitting 10 or more doubles is a smart play.

Value bet: Sabalenka to win 2-1

Sabalenka is the best bet to win on Saturday, and her likely route to the title is in three sets.

The Belarusian is simply the more reliable player than Gauff on the big stage. She already has three titles this year, while Gauff has made the final of her past two events, only to fall at the last hurdle.

Sabalenka’s power has always been a weapon, but now this is coupled with maturity. When the chips are down in the third set, she will be the one who holds her nerve and gets over the finish line.

Sports betting tips