French Open men’s final tips & best odds | Alcaraz v Sinner

It’s the men’s 2025 French Open final tennis fans have been waiting for: Carlos Alcaraz v Jannik Sinner. The defending champion versus the world No.1. Two players widely tipped to dominate the sport over the next decade, now going head-to-head on the biggest clay-court stage of them all.

We’ve broken down the top tennis value bets ahead of Sunday’s showdown at Roland-Garros — including a $5.00 play with the Italian to get the job done.

Best Bet: Over 38.5 Games

Both players arrive at the final with plenty of energy in the tank. Alcaraz progressed after Lorenzo Musetti retired during their semi-final, having pushed the Spaniard for two gritty sets before calling it quits before the 2.5-hour mark. Sinner, meanwhile, dispatched Novak Djokovic in straight sets, also keeping his time on court under three hours.

Their last two Grand Slam matchups have both gone the distance, and all but two of their 11 head-to-head clashes have featured at least one tiebreak. While the bookmakers have set the line high at 38.5 games, that total is very achievable even if the final ends in four sets — which is exactly how we see it playing out.

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Value Bet: Sinner in Four Sets

Alcaraz enters the decider as the favourite with the top online bookmakers, and it’s easy to see why. He’s the defending champ, has lost only once on clay this season, and holds a four-match winning streak over Sinner — including a win in Rome just weeks ago.

But Sinner’s tennis in Paris over the past fortnight has been electric. He’s dropped just one set and looked laser-focused throughout. This feels like his moment. While Alcaraz is capable of brilliant peaks, his consistency has wavered, dropping sets in four of his six matches.

Expect the Spaniard to land a set, but Sinner’s steadiness and form make him a strong play to lift the trophy on Sunday.

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