Fremantle v Richmond AFL R13 betting tips & odds – June 10, 2023

Dockers v Tigers AFL R13 best bets

Fremantle v Richmond match preview

The Fremantle Dockers will be determined to make it four wins in a row when they host the struggling Tigers at Optus Stadium this Saturday in round 13 of the AFL.

Freo produced their best performance of the year in round 11 when they travelled to the MCG and knocked over the Demons by seven points. This continues a recent resurgence after the Dockers started the season with a string of losses that threatened to derail their 2023 aspirations. They now sit 10th on the ladder with only a poor percentage keeping them out of the top eight.

The Dockers chose to chip the ball around the Melbourne defence and by the final whistle had accrued 234 uncontested possessions to the Demons’ 172, along with 92 marks to 63. This strategy proved effective, and the Melbourne stars appeared frustrated by the slow and cautious ball movement that starved them of rebound opportunities.

The Richmond Tigers hit the season’s second bye round in 13th position with only four wins to show for their efforts. They escaped with a crucial six-point victory over the Giants in round 12 after surrendering an early 29-point lead. Scores were level with seconds remaining on the clock when Marlion Pickett found the crucial late winner.

The Tigers have struggled all year to kick enough points and rank 13th in the AFL for scoring with an average of 11.5 goals per game. They are the competition’s worst clearance side and only rank 15th on tackling numbers, suggesting there is much work to be done by the club’s new coaching line-up.

Fremantle v Richmond betting strategy

The Dockers are predictably short going into this contest with the early line set at 15.5 points. They enjoy the home-ground advantage and have played the superior football in the past month. Richmond would need to produce a sizeable form reversal to win this contest. We are expecting a low-scoring affair, so rather than back Freo at the line, we are tipping the unders on the total points market at BetOnline.

Key matchup: Serong v Taranto

Caleb Serong vs Tim Taranto

Fremantle midfielder Caleb Serong has been posting solid numbers this year despite his team’s inconsistency. The 22-year-old is averaging 30.3 disposals, 5.4 tackles, and 7.2 clearances across 11 games to date. Serong appears to have enjoyed a productive off-season and has added muscle to his 180cm frame. The number eight draft pick from 2019 and Rising Star winner of 2020 is on track for further honours and will be key to his side’s winning chances here.

Richmond midfielder Tim Taranto continues to produce the goods in 2023 and might be worth a small wager in Brownlow Medal betting markets at around the $35 mark. The former Giant is averaging an impressive 31.3 disposals, 6.8 tackles, and 7.0 clearances per game this year. These numbers compare favourably with any other midfielder in the competition.

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