Darwin Triple Crown 2025: Supercars betting preview & free tips

Best bets for Darwin Triple Crown

Supercars Championship: Darwin Triple Crown preview

The 2025 Supercars Championship rolls into the tropics for the Darwin Triple Crown, one of the most unpredictable rounds on the calendar. Hidden Valley Raceway serves up a blistering mix of heat, long straights, and a critical first turn where nearly half of all overtakes take place.

Broc Feeney — the race favourite with the top online bookmakers — leads the championship after dominating Perth, with Red Bull teammate Will Brown just behind. Matt Payne has emerged as the best of the rest, sitting third overall with three wins and a reputation for smart strategy. Expect wildcards like Ryan Wood and James Golding to feature, while Chaz Mostert and David Reynolds bring proven Darwin form into the mix.

This weekend features three sprint races — two on Saturday, one on Sunday — with the Triple Crown awarded to the top overall pointscorer. Tyre offset will be crucial, as the undercut isn’t strong here, and late stints on fresher rubber can swing positions.

The 68% safety car rate adds another layer of chaos, and cloud cover during qualifying could hand a lucky driver a front-row start. With aggressive braking and pit timing the keys to victory, expect a high-risk, high-reward betting environment.

2025 Darwin Triple Crown betting odds

• Broc Feeney – +150
• Will Brown – +400
• Cameron Waters – +500
• Matthew Payne – +600
• Chaz Mostert – +800
• Ryan Wood – +1000
• James Golding – +1200
• Brodie Kostecki – +1400
• Nick Percat – +2000
• Thomas Randle – +2500
• Cameron Hill – +3300
• Anton De Pasquale – +3300
• Will Davison – +4000
• Andre Heimgartner – +5000
• David Reynolds – +10000
• Richie Stanaway – +15000
• James Courtney – +15000
• Kai Allen – +25000
• Bryce Fullwood – +25000
• Jack Le Brocq – +25000
• Jaxon Evans – +25000
• Cooper Murray – +25000
• Macauley Jones – +50000
• Aaron Cameron – +50000

More odds available at BetOnline

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2025 Darwin Triple Crown betting predictions

Chaz Mostert has the tools to pull off a statement weekend, with past wins at Hidden Valley and a driving style that thrives in the heat. His team at Walkinshaw Andretti United has been improving with each round, particularly in race strategy and pit execution. Mostert’s qualifying pace is often underrated, but if he nails a top-five start (especially with cloud-assisted shootouts), his ability to conserve tyres and pounce on mistakes puts him firmly in contention. At +750 with BetOnline, he offers genuine value to edge out the Red Bull pairing and top the round standings.

Matt Payne has been one of the breakout stars of 2025. He’s already won multiple times this year and continues to impress with how well he reads races — whether through undercut timing, tyre offset, or reacting quickly to safety-car chaos. Grove Racing have nailed their setups at high-temp tracks, and Hidden Valley should play to those strengths. With his qualifying form steadily improving, Payne looks every bit a podium regular at +125 odds with BetOnline.

David Reynolds has posted consistent top-10 results in Darwin over the years. Team 18 have proved they can unlock strong qualifying setups here, and they often run alternative strategies that pay off when the race gets disrupted. Reynolds may not have the outright pace of Feeney or Payne, but he knows how to pick off spots mid-race. A top-10 finish for Reynolds is a smart, low-risk angle for punters at +175 odds with BetOnline.

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