Carlton Blues v Geelong Cats tips & odds | AFL Round 7, 2025

Carlton v Geelong best bets

Carlton v Geelong match preview

Carlton and Geelong square off at the MCG this Sunday afternoon in one of Round 7’s most anticipated clashes, with the top AFL bookmakers installing the Cats as favourites.

Geelong are priced at $1.52 to continue their unbeaten run away from home, while the Blues sit at $2.54 to cause an upset on their home deck. The line has been set at 11.5 points.

Carlton showed plenty of fight last week, dominating North Melbourne by 82 points, and are bolstered by the return of key forward Harry McKay from concussion. With Sam Walsh in red-hot form through the midfield and Charlie Curnow always dangerous in attack, this matchup will be a major test of where Michael Voss’ side stands after a patchy start to the season.

Geelong, meanwhile, are brimming with confidence following a dominant Easter Monday win. Jeremy Cameron, Tyson Stengle, and Patrick Dangerfield were all influential up forward, and Chris Scott’s team looks well-positioned to extend their perfect start to the 2025 campaign.

Blues v Cats R7 team news

Carlton welcome back key forward Harry McKay after he was subbed out early with concussion in his return two weeks ago. Aside from that inclusion, the Blues are expected to field a largely unchanged lineup.

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Geelong will also make minimal changes, bringing in a few young guns to fill out the interchange bench. However, they’ll be without Gryan Miers, who has been ruled out under concussion protocols following his clash with Connor Nash on Easter Monday.

Both sides will field relatively settled lineups as they prepare for a high-stakes Sunday showdown at the MCG.

Carlton v Geelong predictions

Sam Walsh loves taking on the Cats, having racked up 31 or more disposals in each of his last four outings against Geelong and averaging 29 across his last five. Back him to hit 30 or more again at $2.65 with Picklebet.

Zac Williams is one of the more underrated accumulators in Carlton’s lineup, clearing 15 disposals in four of his last five games against Geelong and averaging 17.8 in that span. At $2.20 with online bookmakers, he’s strong value to hit the 15+ or more mark again this week.

If you’re chasing a big swing, Patrick Dangerfield could be the play. He kicked four goals just two games ago and is averaging five shots on goal across his last three matches. At $5.50 with Neds, he’s a genuine value option to snag four or more majors.

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