Brisbane v Gold Coast betting tips and prediction | AFL Rd 8

Lions v Suns AFL Rd 8 best bets

Brisbane Lions will attempt to arrest their diabolic start to the 2024 AFL season when they host the Gold Coast Suns at the Gabba for Rivalry Round on Sunday night.

Betting sites have installed the Lions as $1.48 favourites to defeat the vastly improved Suns ($2.70), with the $1.90 line set at 13.5.

Brisbane were thoroughly dismantled by the Giants in Round 7, producing just two second half goals to lose by 54 points. The Lions had no answer to the high possession, high disposal brand of football delivered by the Giants, and their scoring woes continued with another paltry total. They mustered a mere four tackles inside 50, suggesting a forward line that is not prepared to put in the effort required to be competitive.

Callum Ah Chee felt the dreaded hamstring twinge in the loss to the Giants and will sit out this game. Ruckman Oscar McInerney missed a week with concussion protocols and will return to replace Darcy Fort. In the reserves, Jarryd Lyons and Logan Morris look the most likely promotions if coach Fagan rings the changes. Harry Sharp and Jaxon Prior will both fancy their chances to replace Ah Chee.

The Suns were forced to work hard for their win over the much-improved West Coast, eventually prevailing by a handy 37 points at the People First Stadium. The Gold Coast midfielders proved the difference, sending the ball into the forward arc on 67 occasions after dominating the hit out and clearance numbers. The Suns have endured a tough early draw with losses to the Swans and Giants to sit just outside the top eight on percentage difference.

The Suns are largely injury-free at this stage of the AFL season. They also have numerous fringe players who are performing well in the lower leagues. Ben Long has been prolific in front of goal at state level, and Joel Jeffrey, Brandon Ellis, Ethan Read, and Alex Sexton are all pushing their case for promotion.

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Brisbane v Gold Coast betting tips

The Suns look like great value for this contest and on a strictly form basis, they get all the ticks. The Lions are struggling in key departments, none more telling than their secondary efforts inside the attacking arc. Gold Coast prevailed last time these teams met and are a solid show to continue their winning way. Gold Coast to win is the tip, returning $2.70 on Unibet.

Suns midfielder Matt Rowell is stamping himself as an elite player this season with an average of 25.3 possessions, 9.4 clearances, and 8.4 tackles per game. He can also hit the scoreboard and booted two majors in the win over the Eagles. Matt Rowell as an anytime goal kicker is the tip at $2.65 on Neds.

Given Brisbane’s goal-scoring woes and forecast weekend rain, this might prove a low-scoring affair. The total points line has been set around the 164.5 point mark with most online bookies, and taking the unders at $1.90 appears the most logical course of action.

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