2019 NRL Round 11 betting tips – Dragons vs Sharks

St George Illawarra Dragons – $1.87 at Bet365
Cronulla Sharks – $1.95

It was not all that long ago that punters were talking about St George Illawarra as genuine contenders in this year’s NRL Premiership betting.

Now, after four losses in a row, there are serious questions about whether the Dragons will even make the final eight.

SEE ALSO: ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA DRAGONS ODDS

Last week’s 45-12 defeat to Newcastle leaves Paul McGregor’s men in 12th place, albeit only two games and percentage outside the top four.

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Despite the club’s injury woes, Mary has made some notable changes for Sunday’s must-win clash against Cronulla.

The Sharks have endured their own well-documented personnel problems this season, yet they had won three of their previous four games heading into round 10.

SEE ALSO: CRONULLA SHARKS NRL 2019 ODDS

Their standards dropped against a similarly injury-hit Manly side, however, with the Sea Eagles claiming a comfortable 24-14 win at Shark Park.

Cronulla are still in the top eight, but it is unlikely to stay that way if they cannot bounce back in Wollongong.

St George Illawarra Dragons team news

The Dragons have swung the axe, chopping Matt Dufty, Josh Kerr and Mikaela Ravalawa. Zac Lomax shifts to fullback to accommodate Euan Aitken at centre, while Jonus Pearson makes his NRL debut on the wing. Korbin Sims and Reece Robson fill out the interchange bench.

Out: Matt Dufty (omitted), Josh Kerr (reserves), Mikaela Ravalawa (omitted)
In: Jonus Pearson, Reece Robson, Korbin Sims

Cronulla Sharks team news

There are no changes to the 17 that went down to Manly last time out, although there could be one significant inclusion come Sunday afternoon. Matt Moylan is named in the reserves and might slot in at fullback, which would most likely see Josh Dugan take Aaron Gray’s spot on the wing.

Out: None
In: None

Dragons vs Sharks tryscorer betting

Markets courtesy of Sportsbet.com.au

Jordan Pereira
First tryscorer – $8.50
Anytime tryscorer – $1.91
Two or more tries – $6

With Ravalawa out, Pereira is St George Illawarra’s go-to guy on the outside. The 26-year-old New Zealander started the season brightly but has not found the line since round five, so he is about due to get his name back on the scoresheet.

Josh Dugan
First tryscorer – $18
Anytime tryscorer – $3.50
Two or more tries – $20

With Moylan half a chance to earn a late callup, there is value to be had in backing Dugan in the major tryscorer markets. He has scored two in three games from the centres and one in one from the flank this year, which makes the $3.50 anytime tryscorer odds very handsome indeed.

St George Illawarra vs Cronulla stats and trends

• The Red V have conceded a whopping 30.7 points per game over the past four weeks
• Dragons hooker Cameron McInnes leads the league for total tackles with 486
• Cronulla’s passing game puts them top of the pile for offloads (132) and line break assists (32)
• Sharks backman Josh Dugan leads the competition for errors with 21

Dragons vs Sharks match betting tips

Will St George Illawarra’s sweeping changes have an immediate impact?

This is a team low on confidence and missing leadership in crucial areas, especially with star skipper Gareth Widdop out of action.

Cronulla will be keen to make up for last week’s loss to Manly and must fancy their chances against a side on a four-game losing streak.

Cronulla Sharks to win – $1.95 at Bet365