Melbourne Demons vs. Adelaide Crows
MATCH UP STATS
Melbourne Demons vs. Adelaide Crows
2018 premiership odds:Melbourne Demons: $12 @ CrownBet.com.auAdelaide Crows: $7.50 @ CrownBet.com.au
Form guide:Melbourne Demons: LWWWWAdelaide Crows: WWWLW
Round 9 result:Melbourne Demons: Win over Carlton, 109-50Adelaide Crows: Win over Western Bulldogs, 63-26
Sunday, 27th May, 3:20 pm AEST, 2018, TIO Traeger Park, Watch on the Seven Network and on the Fox Footy Network.
The Melbourne Demons and Adelaide Crows will put on a show under the hot sun of the Northern Territory as two of the AFL’s 2018 premiership aspirants test out their credentials.
The winner of this round 10 clash will entrench themselves inside the top four and give themselves a nice buffer heading into the bye rounds.
Melbourne is coming off the biggest win the footy world has seen since the expansion sides were introduced. A massive 109-point victory over the poor Blues, who were made to look like a VFL team after half time.
Don Pyke’s Crows were forced to battle the Bulldogs and the weather as rain bucketed down upon Adelaide Oval last Friday night. They scrapped their way to the finish-line, winning by 37 points.
Matt Crouch will make his return this week after suffering a hamstring injury. The same cannot be said about skipper Rory Sloane, who is still trying to overcome an ongoing foot injury which will trouble him for weeks to come.
Melbourne has included some big names on its extended bench, the likes of Jeff Garlett, Jayden Hunt, Cameron Pedersen and Dom Tyson all are a chance to return for the match.
The Alice Springs home crowd will be desperate to see Jeff Garlett and Eddie Betts light up the forward line, as this match will kick off the Indigenous round celebration.
With so much on the line for each club, it will be interesting to see who gets the chocolates on the day.
Here’s what we project will unfold on Sunday.
Melbourne Demons vs. Adelaide Crows Round 10 – First to Tips
First team to 25 points
After reviewing both side’s strengths and weaknesses, we believe the Crows will be able to expose the Melbourne backline with their elite forward 50 entries. The likes of Lever and Hibberd love to intercept and counteract, but they won’t have the opportunity as the Crows will use short kicking to their advantage.
First team to 3 behinds
Melbourne Demons @ $1.83 with Sportsbet
Both sides boast an extremely-accurate goal accuracy so far in 2018, but Adelaide’s is slightly higher. This slight difference is enough for us to back in the Crows to kick straight and force Melbourne to be the first team to three behinds.
Melbourne Demons vs. Adelaide Crows Round 10 – Player Special Tips
Nathan Jones to get 25 Disposals @ $1.45 with William Hill
All the Melbourne Midfielders have a great time around the stoppage due to the immense talent that ruckman Max Gawn possesses. Nathan Jones will possibly match up on Bryce Gibbs, a ball magnet, and if Jones stays close, he could be led to the ball on many occasions. 25 touches is expected from the Demons skipper and we think he will fulfil our hopes for this punt.
Whenever the Indigenous Australians are the main event, you know that the Aboriginal players level up and play out of their skin. Eddie was the best forward on ground last week in the pouring rain, kicking four huge goals from very difficult positions on the ground – for most normal players that is – the next best forward only kicked the one goal. With this revitalised form, Betts should replicate that performance against the Demons.
Melbourne Demons vs. Adelaide Crows Round 10 – Total Points Tips
190.5 total points Over/Under
Under @ $1.64 with CrownBet
Simple reasoning for this punt. When two great defences clash, a low scoring game eventuates. We believe both coaches, Simon Goodwin and Don Pyke, will play with as much precaution and conservatism as necessary, as it is far too important to play risky football and lose the match due to turnovers. 190-points is a very large combined score and it barely happens in the modern game, the $1.64 odds are truly value for this match.
Demons vs. Crows Match Predictions
Match Result: Adelaide Crows to win @ $2.15 with Ladbrokes
Line Betting: Adelaide Crows +5.5 @ $1.92 with Ladbrokes
With an upset occurring in at least one match per round, we have identified this game as one that could go against the bookmakers. Melbourne is not the home side as many people have mistaken them to be as the game will be played on neutral turf in Alice Springs. Adelaide’s forward line will be too strong for the Demons on the day and they will win the game.
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