Brisbane Lions vs. Essendon Bombers
MATCH UP STATS
Brisbane Lions vs. Essendon Bombers
2018 premiership betting:Brisbane Lions: N/AEssendon Bombers: $151 @ CrownBet.com.au
Form guide:Brisbane Lions: LLWLLEssendon Bombers: LLWWL
Round 11 result:Brisbane Lions: Loss to North Melbourne, 141-87Essendon Bombers: Loss to Richmond, 43-114
Sunday, 10th June, 1:10 pm, 2018, Gabba, Watch on the Fox Footy Network.
The Home crowd at the Gabba can smell a victory this week when the Brisbane Lions will host the Essendon Bombers on Sunday.
Despite a glut of injuries and a nine-goal defeat, the Lions showed some positive signs in Round 11 against the Kangaroos. The 87 points the Lions tallied was the third highest score North Melbourne has conceded in 2018.
Essendon played in a horror match as Dreamtime at the G turned into a nightmare. The Tigers mauled the poor Bombers, who lost two players to injury in the opening term.
The Bombers had less scoring shots than Richmond had goals, which says everything you need to know about the game as a contest.
In the last three meeting between the Dons and Lions, it is surprisingly Brisbane which has the upper hand, winning two of the last three — including last season’s aberration when the wooden spoon team upset the finals-bound Bombers.
One of the recruits of the year, Brisbane’s electric small forward Charlie Cameron, has injured his ankle and will miss the remainder of the season. This is a huge blow for the lions as Charlie is currently leading the goal-kicking for Brisbane.
Losing this match would certainly be the body-blow the Bombers hate to concede, almost solidifying their spot outside the top eight, killing off any comeback story that was meant to be this season.
With all the formalities out of the way, let’s take a look at what tips we have highlighted for Sunday’s crucial clash.
Brisbane Lions vs. Essendon Bombers Round 12 – Total Points Tips
Brisbane Lions 89.5 Over/Under
If the Lions can score 87-points against what was the number one defensive team at the time, how are the Bombers going to stop them at the Gabba? We can see the Lions utilising their tall forwards such as Daniel McStay and the newly discover Oscar McInerney. Essendon has shown flashes of brilliance in the last month, but they’ve proven to be a hard team to trust this year. The fall for the Bombers may be too hard and they could crash back to reality if they let the Lions score too heavily in this match.
Essendon Bombers 96.5 Over/Under
Under @ $1.85 with Ladbrokes
We have no reasoning other than this is a ridiculous over and under provided by the bookmakers. The Lions have a formidable back line and do not concede very many high scores at their home deck, especially in the last month of football. The Bombers are kidding themselves if they expect to score nearly a ton against the Lions this week.
Brisbane Lions vs. Essendon Bombers Round 12 – Player Special Tips
The little magician started the season slowly, but in this last month of football he is back to his very best. Though he has not been accumulating the ball the same way he used to, we think this will be the week Dayne Zorko racks up a ton of footy. Zorko averages 29 touches in his most recent games against the Bombers, only giving us more reason to go for this incredible value.
Mark Baguley to kick 2 Goals @ $2.15 with William Hill
We still do not know whether to consider Baguley an opportunist or the luckiest man in the AFL. After being exposed one too many times in the backline, head coach John Worsfold was forced to make a decision, which eventually lead to Mark starting as a small forward — a move that has worked wonders for both Baguley and his side.
Brisbane Lions vs. Essendon Bombers Round 12 – Pick your own line Tip
Brisbane +22.5 @ $1.40 with Sportsbet
We played around with the odds, experimenting how far we could push the boundaries and find acceptable odds for a decent line and this is what we eventually decided on. At $1.40 the odds are far from terrible and can easily fit inside a same-game multi.
Lions vs. Bombers Match Predictions
Match Result: Brisbane Lions to win @ $2.20 with CrownBet
Line Betting: Brisbane Lions +7.5 @ $1.92 with CrownBet
With an upset on the cards in every round, we see this match as one of the danger games for tipsters and fans alike. Brisbane to shock the Bombers and come out as victors in a close and exciting match.
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