Collingwood Magpies vs. Carlton Blues
MATCH UP STATS
Collingwood Magpies vs. Carlton Blues
Season record:Collingwood Magpies: 2-4Carlton Blues: 2-4
Last 5 results:Collingwood Magpies: LWLLWCarlton Blues: LWLLW
Line betting odds:Collingwood Magpies: -19.5 ($1.92 with Sportsbet.com.au)Carlton Blues: +19.5 ($1.92 with Sportsbet.com.au)
Saturday, 2.10pm at the MCG. Watch on Fox Footy.
THE bitter traditional rivals Carlton and Collingwood are both coming off wins on the weekend setting up heightened expectations from both clubs’ rabid fanbases.
And, while those outside those clubs walls might not give a toss, this one actually has the hallmarks of a decent scrap.
Scrap, of course, being the operative word. The Blues have some slick ball users but, on the whole, their youthful exuberance doesn’t quite outweigh their efficiency with the pill.
And we don’t have to tell you how bad turnover kings Collingwood are when they have possession of the footy.
The Magpies continued their recent dominance over Geelong, recording a barnstorming 29 point victory 15.17 (107) to 1.12 (78).
The Pies atoned for their shocking show on Anzac Day against the Bombers to pick apart the undefeated Cats handing them their first loss of the season.
And it started – and ended – with Scott Pendlebury, with a little help from Taylor Adams.
Spurred by a poor game against Essendon, Pendlebury was on from the start and finished the game with 33 possessions, nine tackles, six marks and a goal.
Adams was on fire too, with 36 disposals – equal most on the ground – while the Pies found a remarkable 13 individual goal kickers.
Only Alex Fasolo and Darcy Moore – both with two – kicked multiple goals and no player had less than 11 disposals.
We must also mention the often maligned Levi Greenwood, who put the clamps on Cats superstar Joel Selwood and will probably get the jobs on one of Marc Murphy, Patrick Cripps or Bryce Gibbs this weekend – should they shrug off injury.
But they will have more than just those three big guns to worry about, especially given the dominant performance by hard running back man Sam Docherty in the weekend’s 15.7 (97) to 11.12 (78) win over the Sydney Swans.
Docherty had a serious case of leather poisoning ripping down 12 marks to go with 39 disposals – including 28 kicks, and adding four tackles to his best on ground performance.
Murphy chimed in with 31, as did a rejuvenated Kade Simpson, and Cripps had 27 in what was a dominant performance over a side that had dealt it so much pain in previous years.
The goals came from last year’s leading goal kicker – small forward Matthew Wright – who was front and centre at every forward contest and managed four straight for his effort.
Levi Casboult kicked two goals, along with ruck man Matthew Kreuzer, who has been very good for the Blues in the early going, despite never looking completely right thanks to all that tape he wears.
This game is one for the traditionalists, with an eye on the new breed.
Can the Pies assert their ascendency or will the Blues shock the AFL world again?
Suggested Same Game Multi
Collingwood to win ($1.35)
Carlton +19.5 ($1.92)
Total match score under 178.5 points ($1.90)
Taylor Adams to have 25 disposals or more ($1.12)
Adam Treloar to have 30 disposals or more ($1.40)
It would be a very Collingwood thing for the Magpies to lose this.
But surely not.
They will be up and about after knocking over the previously undefeated Cats and, despite not being reflected in the wins column, the Pies have actually been ok in a number of close losses.
Their penchant for butchering the footy – we’re looking at you Treloar – and struggles in front of goal are certainly a concern, but the bevy of midfield weapons at their disposal should allow them to get on top of the Blues, whose top end is elite, but their pack of young bucks still has a lot to learn.
As we’ve mentioned, the Pies struggle up forward and it is not like the Blues are much better. Levi Casboult isn’t exactly Josh Kennedy and they get a little production from smalls like Matty Wright, but they are similar to the Pies when it comes to kicking a score.
The Blue Baggers are coming off their biggest total of the year – and they have kicked 12 goals or less in four of six games. The Magpies kicked their biggest score of the year too – cracking the century for the first time. But it’s a bit of a falsehood. It goes down as much to how bad the Cats were and the 10-11 goals per game they have been averaging looks more realistic here.
Expect plenty of butchered footy, but midfield maestro Treloar should find an absolute mountain of it as the Blues have their work cut out trying to stop the likes of he, Pendlebury and Steele Sidebottom.
Speaking of blokes who are hard to stop, Taylor Adams has taken the next step this year and has become the player Pies fans always thought he could be. The guy finds a ton of it and uses it pretty well – compared to some others – and we reckon he should do 25 touches with relative ease.
The $1.35 does feel a bit short for the Pies, but we have faith that they will be spurred on by their 125th anniversary celebrations to get the job done – just – and have included the Blue Baggers at the line to inject some real value into our Same Game Multi.
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