Adelaide Crows vs. Collingwood Magpies
MATCH UP STATS
Adelaide Crows vs. Collingwood Magpies
2018 Premiership oddsAdelaide Crows: $6 @ CrownBet.com.auCollingwood Magpies: $67 @ CrownBet.com.au
Form guideAdelaide Crows: Win over St Kilda, 55-104Collingwood Magpies: Win over Carlton, 76-100
By Nathan Marotta
Friday, 13th April, 7:50 pm AEST, 2018, Adelaide Oval, Watch on Seven Network and on Fox Footy.
ROUND four kicks off on Friday night when the Adelaide Crows host the Collingwood Magpies in a contest bookmakers are predicting could be a one-sided affair.
Adelaide has made amends for its round one loss with two consecutive wins over Richmond and St Kilda in the last fortnight.
The Crows‘ strong performance on Saturday night left Saints’ fans questioning their life decisions as they departed Etihad Stadium.
Will they make it three in a row against the Magpies?
In what Nathan Buckley described as “45 minutes of good football”, Collingwood registered its first win in Round 3 while it picked apart the carcass of the Carlton Football Club.
While Collingwood could have won by more last Friday, they will enter the match against the Crows with improved confidence and returning stars. Collingwood’s VFL victory — in which it scored a record 201 points — featured stars Billy Elliot, Jordan de Goey and Alex Fasolo all playing well, creating welcome headaches for coach Nathan Buckley.
Whenever the black and white are up and about, you know that we are in for a cracking game of football.
Let’s transition now to the tips that will get us through Friday night’s AFL clash.
Adelaide Crows vs. Collingwood Magpies Round 4 – Total Goals tips
Total Goals Over/Under 14.5 – Over @ $1.79 with Sportsbet
In Round 2 in the Grand Final re-match against Richmond, the Crows kicked 18 goals in front of their home crowd. It’s fair to say Collingwood’s backline is not at the same level as the Tigers’ one. Offensive and aggressive is the style that the Magpies have adopted from its back end, which can often result in rebound scores coming from its opposition. Adelaide will expose Nathan Buckley’s game plan and kick a formidable tally.
The likely inclusions of Jamie Elliot, Jordan de Goey and Alex Fasolo are massive for Collingwood. Those three alone kicked 12 goals between them in the seconds against the Northern Blues in the VFL last week. Collingwood will relish the opportunity to get some of their talented and experienced forwards back for the first time in 2018 and if its midfield provides reasonable service, 11 goals is a monty.
Adelaide Crows vs. Collingwood Magpies Round 4 – Player Specials
Taylor Walker 3+ Goals @ $1.95 with William Hill
Still finding form since an early season ankle injury, Tex kicked three goals against the Saints last week. The more games he plays, the better Taylor will perform and with likely match-up Lynden Dunn giving up both height and speed, we expect a big week from the Crows’ Captain.
Last week the Collingwood Skipper laid a game high 12 tackles, while completing a heralded negating roll on Blues gun Patrick Cripps. Nathan Buckley suggested this could be a new tactic to release other midfielders while keeping Pendlebury at the coalface. If Pendles is given another tagging job — or even if he just spends the majority of the time in the middle — he’s the Magpies best bet at notching up well over six tackles.
Adelaide Crows vs. Collingwood Magpies Round 4 – Both Teams to Score 80+ tips
80+ Yes/No – Yes @ $3.15 with Ladbrokes
We hypothesise the match to be very high scoring. Adelaide may be favourite but that’s not going to stop the Pies from finding avenues to goal with big inclusions at selection. Collingwood will enter the match with a full head of steam in an attempt to knock off the Premiership fancies on their home deck. Both teams over 80+ is very likely in what has so far been a high-scoring season.
Crows vs. Magpies Match Predictions
Match Result: Adelaide to Win @ $1.18 with Sportsbet
Line betting: Collingwood + 31.5 @ $1.92 with Sportsbet
Many of the bookies are underestimating the significance of Collingwood’s inclusions coming into the match. Adelaide may be the better team, but without the Crouch brothers its midfield may fall short against the momentum been carried by the Pies. We’re tipping a closer game with Adelaide the victor when the final siren blows.
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